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On Thursday, February 6, the rubber RU2005 contract opened high and volatile, and the futures price closed higher
.
The current price closed at 11340, +0.
98% from the previous trading day; Volume 126861 lots, position volume 174743 lots, -1956, basis -290; RU5-9 spread -280
.
NR2004 contract futures closed at 9630, +1.
8% from the previous session; Volume 9008 lots, open position 18931 lots, +1505, basis -134
.
News: 1.
European passenger car sales in 2019 increased by 1.
2% year-on-year, a new high
since 2012.
2.
Light vehicle sales in Japan in 2019 decreased by 1.
5%.
3.
According to Longzhong Information, as of January 30, the operating rate of semi-steel tire sample enterprises was 10.
18%, down 14.
30% from before the holiday, and the overall operating rate in January was 40.
43%, down 24.
41%
from the previous month.
The operating rate of the all-steel tire sample enterprises was 12.
06%, down 17.
99% from before the holiday, and the overall operating rate in January was 46.
21%, down 22.
37%
from the previous month.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 18-year state-owned full latex reported 11050 (-50) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 11300 (+0) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 13350 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1360 (+20) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 January cargo reported 1360 (+20) US dollars / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market raw film 40.
29 (+0.
4) baht/kg; Tai San Tobacco Tablets 41.
53 (+0.
53) THB/kg; Field glue 39.
5 (+0.
1) baht/kg; 32.
3 (+0) THB/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price 10800 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 10800 (+0) yuan/ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 236760 tons, +0 tons; NR warehouse receipt 22,600 tons, +706 tons
.
Main positions: RU2005 Top 20 long positions 81140, -1581; short positions 117882, -1117; long and short decrease, net short increased
.
NR2003 Top 20 Long Positions 5112, +48, Short Positions 5177, +10
.
Summary: The delay in the resumption of work by tire companies will adversely affect short-term natural rubber demand, and the accumulation of inventory caused by the increase in imports in the early stage will also put pressure on rubber prices
.
However, at present, the world has entered a low production period, and southern Thailand will also stop cutting early due to weather impacts, and the supply side supports futures prices
.
The RU2005 contract opened high and volatile during the day, and it is recommended to trade in the 11000-11600 range in the short term; The NR2004 contract is recommended to trade
in the 9250-9700 range for short term.
