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Yesterday's national aluminum ingot social inventory accumulated 31,000 tons to 1.
038 million tons compared with last Thursday, affected by it, Shanghai aluminum fell in early trading yesterday, from 18,650 yuan / ton all the way down to around
18,350 yuan / ton.
In terms of spot in East China, the shipment of holders is still positive, and the discount of aluminum in the morning is around 120-130 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction is concentrated around
18320-18330 yuan / ton.
Fundamentally, due to the limited impact of electricity, the production of alumina and electrolytic aluminum fell year-on-year in October, but the import volume of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products in October increased
sharply year-on-year.
Recently, overseas aluminum companies are actively planning to expand production and expansion, and the domestic Guangxi region has reduced production again, and aluminum companies are not willing to resume production due to cost problems, and because of the impact of environmental protection tasks and dual control policies on energy consumption of the Winter Olympics, electrolytic aluminum production capacity may be further compressed
.
Consumers on the consumer side adjust prices and shipments, receivers buy at the low, transaction activity is general, due to the reduction of the impact of power cuts and the obvious pullback in aluminum prices, the willingness to replenish downstream stocks has increased, and the operating rate of downstream enterprises has also continued to pick up, but due to factors such as the shortage of automotive chips and the real estate recession, the degree of consumption recovery is relatively limited
.
In terms of inventory, according to the latest inventory data, domestic aluminum ingot society accumulation, Wuxi, Gongyi and other regions continue to accumulate.
In terms of price, it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in the lower limit of production in the heating season, but considering that it is difficult for terminal consumption to improve and drag down aluminum prices, it is recommended to be cautious and bearish
in the short term.
