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1.
In 2018, China's total production capacity of polyvinyl chloride exceeded 24 million tons
.
1.
Data source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
(Note: The newly added production capacity in 2018 is 660,000 tons)
2.
2.
Data source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
In recent years, the consumption of polyvinyl chloride industry has grown steadily.
Under the condition that domestic production capacity and import volume of polyvinyl chloride do not increase significantly, the increase in apparent consumption is more of a rigid demand amplification belt after the improvement of supply and demand relationship.
results to come
.
Statistics on apparent consumption of PVC in China from 2010 to 2018
Statistics on apparent consumption of PVC in China from 2010 to 2018
Data source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
3.
The number of enterprises is declining.
With the deepening of structural optimization and merger and reorganization process, the number of domestic PVC production enterprises has decreased from 94 in 2012 to 75 in 2018 (including enterprises with idle production capacity), and the average size has decreased from less than 25 10,000 tons/year increased to 320,000 tons/year
.
3.
Data source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
The production capacity of the top 10 enterprises in production capacity has exceeded 30% of the national total, and the enterprises with larger production capacity are mainly concentrated in Northwest China, North China, East China and other regions
.
Statistics on production capacity of major PVC manufacturers in China in 2018
Source: Compiled by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute
4.
The pattern of tight supply and demand continues
.
The annual capacity expansion of PVC is low, while the demand side grows steadily.
The pattern of tight supply and demand in 2019 will continue
.
From a seasonal point of view, the centralized maintenance of equipment will exacerbate the tight supply pattern.
The equipment maintenance in August exceeded expectations, and in September, facing the impact of the domestic 70th anniversary Daqing environmental protection policy, the production and transportation of limestone and calcium carbide upstream of PVC are expected to be affected.
, There will be disturbance factors in the start-up load of PVC plants, it is difficult for the supply side to recover to a high level, and the tight supply side pattern is difficult to change in the short term, while the demand side faces seasonal peak seasons, and rigid demand remains at a relatively high annual level
.
From a macro perspective, the market is worried that changes in the global trade environment will have a greater impact on the demand side, but from the actual export of PVC products, the year-on-year growth rate is at a high level
.
Taking the export of PVC flooring as an example, the cumulative export volume of PVC flooring from January to June 2019 was 1.
78 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 17%
.
It is more of an emotional worry that the demand side has declined, but from the actual data, the demand side is in a growth pattern
.
The above data comes from the "Analysis Report on Production and Sales Demand and Investment Forecast of China's PVC Industry" issued by the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute.
At the same time, the Qianzhan Industry Research Institute also provides solutions such as industrial big data, industrial planning, industrial declaration, industrial park planning, and industrial investment attraction.
.
The pattern of tight supply and demand continues
