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    Home > Chemicals Industry > Rubber Plastic News > The spread of chemical products at home and abroad widens, and epoxy resin bears the brunt

    The spread of chemical products at home and abroad widens, and epoxy resin bears the brunt

    • Last Update: 2022-10-23
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    With the ability of large-scale manufacturing, industrial chain coordination and engineering optimization, Chinese enterprises have cost advantages in most chemical products compared with overseas, which has become the consensus of investors
    .
    However, in recent years, under the inflation trend, domestic inflation has been properly controlled, and the cost of raw materials represented by coal has a prominent advantage over overseas oil and gas costs.
    The cost curve of domestic and foreign chemical products has actually undergone a reconstruction under the sharp differentiation of energy and resource costs.

    .

    By tracking the prices of major chemical products in China, Europe and the United States since 2019, it is found that the price difference between domestic and overseas has widened significantly, especially since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in 2022, the price gap between European chemical products and domestic chemical products has further widened.
    , caustic soda, acetic acid represented by the European market price of chemicals has reached more than twice the domestic price

    .
    In this context, we need to focus on the export arbitrage space of domestic chemicals

    .
    From the monthly import and export data, there is indeed a trend of decreasing import dependence and increasing export volume.
    If you consider the high sea freight in 2021, this year, on the one hand, the price difference will further widen, and on the other hand, the sea freight will decline.
    The resumption of production and work in China will also solve the transportation problem of the supply chain, and the export of chemical products in the second half of the year may have a stronger performance

    .
    This is also an important reason why we are not pessimistic about the profitability of chemical products in the second half of the year

    .
    As of June 5th, chemical product price difference at home and abroad: Top chemical product price gaps between China and Europe include: epoxy resin, adipic acid ($2307.
    5/ton), PA66 (injection molding) ($1706.
    4/ton), caprolactam ($1531.
    7/ton) ton), PA6 (injection molding) ($1508.
    7/ton), TDI ($1433.
    0/ton),

    etc.
    The increase in the price difference of chemical products at home and abroad: Compared with the beginning of 2022, the top 3 increase in the price difference of chemical products in China and Europe are PA66 (injection molding) (+2338.
    9 US dollars / ton), PA6 (injection molding) (+ 599.
    8 US dollars / ton), toluene (+527.
    5 US dollars / ton) USD/ton); Sino-US chemical product spread growth TOP3 are vinyl acetate monomer (+$2623.
    6/ton), PA66 (injection molding) (+$2242.
    1/ton), and silicon metal (+2098.
    4/ton)

    .
    Compared with the same period in 2019, the top 3 growth rates of chemical price difference between China and Europe are epoxy resin (solid) (+$2,342.
    4/ton), PA66 (injection) (+$1,397.
    8/ton), and PA6 (injection) (+$1,358.
    5/ton).
    ton); Sino-US chemical product spread growth TOP3 are epoxy resin (solid) (+4439.
    6 US dollars / ton), MDI (+1838.
    2 US dollars / ton), n-butanol (+1124.
    6 US dollars / ton)

    .
    China's import and export of chemical products in April: Chemical products with a significant increase in export volume include: adipic acid, toluene, PS, PVC, styrene, soda ash, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, HDPE, LLDPE, PTA, liquid caustic soda,
    etc.
    Chemicals with a significant decrease in import dependence include: styrene, toluene, HDPE, LLDPE, caprolactam, octanol, ethylene, ethylene glycol, propylene,
    etc.

    By tracking the prices of major chemical products in China, Europe and the United States since 2019, it is found that the price difference between domestic and overseas has widened significantly, especially since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in 2022, the price gap between European chemical products and domestic chemical products has further widened.
    , caustic soda, acetic acid represented by the European market price of chemicals has reached more than twice the domestic price

    .
    In this context, we need to focus on the export arbitrage space of domestic chemicals

    .
    From the monthly import and export data, there is indeed a trend of decreasing import dependence and increasing export volume.
    If you consider the high sea freight in 2021, this year, on the one hand, the price difference will further widen, and on the other hand, the sea freight will decline.
    The resumption of production and work in China will also solve the transportation problem of the supply chain, and the export of chemical products in the second half of the year may have a stronger performance

    .
    This is also an important reason why we are not pessimistic about the profitability of chemical products in the second half of the year

    .
    As of June 5th, chemical product price difference at home and abroad: Top chemical product price gaps between China and Europe include: epoxy resin, adipic acid ($2307.
    5/ton), PA66 (injection molding) ($1706.
    4/ton), caprolactam ($1531.
    7/ton) ton), PA6 (injection molding) ($1508.
    7/ton), TDI ($1433.
    0/ton),

    etc.
    The increase in the price difference of chemical products at home and abroad: Compared with the beginning of 2022, the top 3 increase in the price difference of chemical products in China and Europe are PA66 (injection molding) (+2338.
    9 US dollars / ton), PA6 (injection molding) (+ 599.
    8 US dollars / ton), toluene (+527.
    5 US dollars / ton) USD/ton); Sino-US chemical product spread growth TOP3 are vinyl acetate monomer (+$2623.
    6/ton), PA66 (injection molding) (+$2242.
    1/ton), and silicon metal (+2098.
    4/ton)

    .
    Compared with the same period in 2019, the top 3 growth rates of chemical price difference between China and Europe are epoxy resin (solid) (+$2,342.
    4/ton), PA66 (injection) (+$1,397.
    8/ton), and PA6 (injection) (+$1,358.
    5/ton).
    ton); Sino-US chemical product spread growth TOP3 are epoxy resin (solid) (+4439.
    6 US dollars / ton), MDI (+1838.
    2 US dollars / ton), n-butanol (+1124.
    6 US dollars / ton)

    .
    China's import and export of chemical products in April: Chemical products with a significant increase in export volume include: adipic acid, toluene, PS, PVC, styrene, soda ash, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, HDPE, LLDPE, PTA, liquid caustic soda,
    etc.
    Chemicals with a significant decrease in import dependence include: styrene, toluene, HDPE, LLDPE, caprolactam, octanol, ethylene, ethylene glycol, propylene,
    etc.
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