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On Thursday, the Shanghai rubber RU2109 contract reduced its position and increased, and the futures price closed higher
.
The current day price closed at 13990, +1.
01% from the previous trading day; Volume 519127 lots, position volume 222021 lots, -984, basis -540; RU5-9 spread -270
.
The NR2106 contract futures closed at 11055, +0.
91% from the previous session; Volume 19883 lots, position 29974 lots, -437; NR06-07 spread -135
.
News: 1.
In 2020, India's tianjiao production fell by 2.
4% year-on-year to 685,000 tons
.
2.
Bureau of Statistics: China's tire production in March increased by 18.
7%
year-on-year.
3.
Bureau of Statistics: China's synthetic rubber production in March increased by 12.
1%
year-on-year.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 19 years state-owned full latex reported 13450 (+250) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 13150 (+250) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 19850 (+250) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1690 (+0) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 April cargo reported 1680 (+0) US dollars / ton
.
Hainan state-owned glue into the whole dairy plant 11700 (+0) yuan / ton, into the concentrated dairy plant 14200 (+0) yuan / ton
.
The price of glue in Mengla area of Yunnan refers to 12.
3-12.
6 yuan / kg
.
Field glue at Hat Yai raw material market in Thailand 58 (+0.
5) baht/kg; Cup gum 43.
15 (+0.
45) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber in North China 1502 market price 13900 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 12500 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 174080 tons, - 40 tons; NR warehouse receipts 55,692 tons, - 201 tons
.
Main positions: RU2109 Top 20 long positions 98671, + 689; short positions 141994, +1456; long and short increased, net short increased
.
Summary: On the supply side, northern Thailand has entered the cutting period, and the recent rainfall in the main production areas of the world is slightly more, which is conducive to the growth of
rubber trees.
Affected by powdery mildew in Banna area of Yunnan Province, the overall cutting rate is not high, and it is expected that the output will gradually increase in late April; The Hainan production area is expected to be fully cut in late April, and the volume will be greatly increased in May, and the competition for full-latex raw materials in the short term is still serious
.
Downstream, factory export market shipments slowed down, domestic sales were slightly weak, manufacturers' finished product inventories increased, and tire operating rates may decline slightly
.
On the market, the center of gravity of the RU2109 contract price is rising, and the market pays attention to the pressure around 14200, and it is recommended to trade in the 13600-14200 range in the short term; The NR2106 contract is eyeing pressure around 11150 and is recommended to trade
in the 10800-11150 range.