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On Monday, the main force of rubber RU closed at 14920 (-265) yuan / ton, mixed rubber quotation 13375 yuan / ton (-75), the basis of the main contract -1070 yuan / ton (+165); The top 20 main long positions 118784 (+155), short positions 181917 (+3560), net short positions 63133 (+3405).
NR main closing price 11925 (-265) yuan / ton, Qingdao Free Trade Zone Thai standard rubber 1835 (-25) US dollars / ton, Malaysian standard rubber 1830 US dollars / ton (-25), Indonesian standard rubber 1875 (-10) US dollars / ton
.
As of January 14: Exchange Total Inventory 239925 (+5125), Exchange Warehouse Receipt 219910 (+4400).
Raw materials: raw film 55.
15 (-0.
85), cup glue 48.
45 (-0.
4), glue 54.
5 (-2), tobacco film 58.
7 (-1.
33).
As of January 13, the domestic all-steel tire operating rate was 59.
01% (+6.
98%), and the domestic semi-steel tire operating rate was 59.
36% (-0.
69%)
.
Domestic interest rate cuts exceeded market expectations, and the warming market atmosphere also brought about a slight recovery in rubber prices, but due to the approach to the Spring Festival holiday, domestic demand turned significantly weaker, downstream tire factory raw material procurement demand cooled, and the larger futures price difference still attracted the intervention of arbitrage, so that the plate is still under pressure, yesterday RU main contract top 20 headroom is still increasing
.
Domestic rubber presents a weak pattern of supply and demand, and the expected improvement in demand has become the main driving factor of the plate, while the price of raw materials in Thailand's main producing areas continues to rise, and under the peak season supply, raw material prices remain strong, or reflect that the supply pressure is not large, and also give strong support
below the rubber price.
The contradiction between supply and demand is not obvious, and the price or shock is mainly
a few years ago.
In the later stage, we will focus on domestic port inventory changes
.
