The 13th Five-Year Plan for Energy will introduce industries with severe overcapacity to restrict new projects

"The 13th Five-Year Plan for energy is in full swing, and the first draft has been formed, which will soon be solicited for comments, and will be reported to the State Council in March and April, with a view to promulgating
it in the first half of the year.
" He Yongjian, deputy director of the Development Planning Department of the National Energy Administration, revealed at the "2016 Economic Situation and Power Development Analysis and Forecast Meeting" held by the China Electricity Council on March 19
.

According to the benchmark scenario of the 2020 energy demand forecast, the total energy consumption is 4.
85 billion tons of standard coal, of which 4.
05 billion tons are coal, 590 million tons of oil, 350 billion cubic meters of natural gas and 750 million tons of non-fossil energy are standard coal
.
From the perspective of installed power capacity, the installed capacity target of nuclear power in 2020 is 58 million kilowatts, conventional hydropower 340 million kilowatts, pumped storage 40 million kilowatts, wind power 210 million kilowatts, photovoltaic power generation 110 million kilowatts, solar thermal power generation 15 million kilowatts, biomass power generation 15 million kilowatts
.

It is worth noting that the primary policy orientation of the 13th Five-Year Plan is to resolve overcapacity, and for the traditional energy industry that has already experienced serious overcapacity, in principle, no new projects
will be launched in the first three years of the 13th Five-Year Plan.
At the same time, it was clearly proposed for the first time that wind power should be allowed to properly abandon wind, and actively promote solar thermal power generation demonstration
.
In addition, one of the highlights of the plan is the proposal to build a terminal energy supply system that integrates complementarity and cascade utilization, and relevant demonstration projects
will be arranged in this regard.

At present, the world's energy development presents a trend of "five modernizations" such as loosening of supply and demand, multi-polarization of supply and demand pattern, low-carbon energy structure, intelligent production and consumption, and diversification of international competition focus, while domestic energy development has also entered a new normal, energy consumption growth has shifted gears and decelerated and the pace of double replacement of energy structure has accelerated, while the power of energy development has accelerated from high energy consumption to new formats, and the energy system form has also ushered in a turning window, from centralized development to intelligent and distributed
.
In addition, international cooperation in energy has moved towards a high level
.

"However, there are also some problems and challenges, and traditional energy sources such as coal, thermal power, oil refining, and coal chemical industry have serious
overcapacity.
At the same time, the proportion of flexible power supply adjusted by the power system is low, the peak regulation capacity is seriously insufficient, and the phenomenon of abandoning water, wind and light in some areas is serious, and the wind abandonment in the Sanbei region is still very high
in the first quarter of this year.
He Yongjian said frankly that the price mechanism to adapt to the change of energy transition also needs to be improved, the natural gas consumption market is difficult to develop, and the promotion of clean and efficient stoves and clean briquettes is also unsustainable
.

Under this circumstance, the policy orientation of the "13th Five-Year Plan" energy plan is to pay more attention to improving the quality of development in the first place, focus on optimizing stocks, optimizing increments, and resolving excess capacity
.
For the traditional energy industry that has experienced serious overcapacity, in principle, no new projects will be launched in the first three years of the "13th Five-Year Plan", and new projects
will not be arranged in areas that exceed the reasonable curtailment rate of wind and light.

"At the same time, more attention is paid to improving the efficiency of system operation, focusing on making up for shortcomings, innovating models, and building an efficient and intelligent energy system
.
" The first priority is to significantly increase the power system's capacity to peak shave and absorb renewable energy, allowing wind power to be properly curtailed, which is acceptable in the 5% range
.
At the same time, fully tap the potential of the existing power system and reduce new thermal power and cross-regional transmission, so that the final electricity price can be reduced a lot
.
He Yongjian introduced
.

In his view, the biggest highlight is the construction of a terminal energy supply system that integrates complementarity and cascade utilization, implements the action plan for the integration of energy supply facilities for new towns, new industrial parks, logistics centers, etc.
, and coordinates the construction of electricity, gas, heat, cooling and other infrastructure
.
This requires innovation in business model, which is currently in the power reform, and can compete with the grid through co-supply with the help of the reform of the electricity sales side, which will be more advantageous, and some related pilot projects
will be arranged in the planning.

In addition, we will pay more attention to the strategic adjustment of the energy structure, accelerate the process of green and low-carbon development, actively develop hydropower, and give priority to the development of leading hydropower stations
.
Steadily promote the construction of coastal nuclear power, put into operation 58 million kilowatts in the "13th Five-Year Plan" and start construction of 30 million kilowatts
.
Concentrate and decentralize at the same time, vigorously develop renewable energy, mainly decentralized development in the eastern and central regions, moderately concentrate development in the western conditional areas, develop offshore wind power according to local conditions, accelerate the development of solar power generation, and actively promote rooftop photovoltaic and solar thermal power generation demonstrations
.
Promote the implementation of renewable energy quota and market trading systems, actively build carbon emissions and pollutant emissions trading markets, and explore the timely introduction of environmental protection taxes or carbon taxes
.

In terms of fossil energy, it is necessary to develop coal power cleanly, and different regions have different requirements, with the eastern region giving priority to the construction of cogeneration units, and the western region focusing on the construction of large-scale coal power bases and pit mouth power stations
.
At the same time, the proportion of natural gas consumption will be greatly increased, the gas price mechanism will be reformed, the price of feeder gas transmission will be reduced, and the import and sales gas price will be gradually marketized
.

In addition, the coal deep processing industry has been steadily developed, the "13th Five-Year Plan" coal-to-liquids production capacity is controlled at 13 million tons, coal-to-gas is 18 billion cubic meters, the projects that have been started have been completed, and other projects that have obtained road strips and reserves have been suspended
.
"At present, the natural gas receiving station is monopolized, and the '13th Five-Year Plan' will definitely break through and be fully opened, and at the same time, there is still room for the decline in the price of regional gas transmission, and there will be a decline in China's basic gas price in the future
.
" He Yongjian revealed
.