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On Thursday, the rebound of the Shanghai rubber RU2105 contract was blocked and the futures price closed slightly higher
.
The current day price closed at 15175, +0.
1% from the previous trading day; Volume 504179 lots, position volume 163924 lots, -242, basis -425; RU5-9 spread -240
.
The NR2105 contract futures closed at 12170, +1.
16% from the previous session; The volume is 30928 lots, the position volume is 33592 lots, -585; NR05-06 spread is -135
.
News: 1.
Bridgestone decided to close the French Bettina tire plant
at the end of April.
2.
According to Longzhong Information statistics, the operating rate of semi-steel tire sample manufacturers last week was 72.
24%, up 3.
16% month-on-month and 14.
13% year-on-year; The operating rate of all-steel tire manufacturers was 76.
83%, up 3.
69% month-on-month and 17.
46%
year-on-year.
3.
In the first two months of 2021, Vietnam's rubber exports increased by 89.
9%
year-on-year.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 19 years state-owned full latex reported 14750 (+250) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 14100 (+250) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 20900 (+250) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1870 (+40) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 March cargo reported 1855 (+35) US dollars / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market field glue 65.
5 (+0.
5) baht/kg; Cup glue 47 (+0.
3) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber in North China 1502 market price 14400 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 13700 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 170650 tons, +0 tons; NR warehouse receipt 60,440 tons, +0 tons
.
Main positions: RU2105 Top 20 long positions 70741, - 1109; Short positions 112468, + 2335; long short increase, net short increase
.
Summary: From the supply side, the global production of tianjiao is at the lowest production period
of the year.
The domestic Yunnan production area is close to the cutting period, but the rainfall in the production area is less, and powdery mildew is more serious in some areas, and there is uncertainty about whether the cutting can be started as scheduled.
The Hainan production area is expected to start cutting in early April, and the current high price may stimulate the enthusiasm of rubber farmers to tap rubber, but considering that the supply of raw materials in the early stage of cutting is small, and it will still face concentrated milk diversion, it is expected that warehouse receipts will be difficult to increase
significantly.
Downstream, last week Shandong Dongying, Qingdao environmental protection production restrictions, manufacturers to start work is restricted, but as the weather warms, heavy pollution weather warnings are gradually lifted, coupled with the current low inventory of finished products in various factories and good orders, manufacturers may have room
to rise.
On the market, the RU2105 contract closed slightly higher, focusing on the pressure around 15300 in the short term, the NR2105 contract focusing on the pressure around 12400, and the mid-term recommended to be more volatile
.
