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Market situation: Shanghai rubber increased its position to the downside, RU1909 increased its position downward, and the futures price closed down
.
The day closed at 11355, -2.
49% from the previous trading day; Volume 461008, position 429414, 8290, basis -205; RU9-January spread -980
.
News: 1.
Passenger Association: It is expected that car sales will still decline
in July.
2.
Thailand's exports of Tianjiao in May increased by 7.
3% month-on-month and decreased by 10%
year-on-year.
3.
U.
S.
auto inventories in May hit the lowest level
this year.
Market quotation: the quotation of 17-year state-owned whole milk (Yunxiang) in the Shanghai market is 11150 (-250) yuan / ton; Vietnam's 3L quotation is 11550 (-250) yuan / ton; Thailand No.
3 tobacco flakes 12950 (-250) yuan/ton; Yunnan 18 years full latex 11450 (-200) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of natural rubber fresh glue and dry rubber of Hainan state-owned rubber processing plant remained stable at 11200 yuan / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market raw film 55.
59 (-0.
6) baht/kg; Tai San Tobacco Tablets 57.
39 (-0.
4) THB/kg; field glue 52 (+0) baht/kg; Cup gum 41.
8 (+0) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price in East China 10200 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 10800 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: warehouse receipt 402750 tons, -70 tons
.
Main positions: the top 20 long positions 510528, -2696, short positions 617431, -2241
.
Long and short are reduced together, and headroom is reduced
.
Summary: At present, domestic and foreign production areas are in the rubber tapping period, and the supply is gradually increasing
.
In terms of imports, the inspection policy of mixed rubber may be relaxed, which may promote the import
of mixed rubber.
From the perspective of inventory, inventory outside the bonded zone has continued to decline recently, but exchange inventory is still at a high level
.
On the demand side, the recent domestic tire factory operation has remained generally good, but this year's export decline has been obvious, and domestic consumption has gradually entered the off-season, and the demand for the future market is not optimistic
.
From a technical point of view, the RU1909 contract increased its position to the downside, the upper moving average showed a short arrangement, and the futures price is expected to remain weak and volatile, it is recommended to take a short position near the five-day line, and pay attention to the support
around 11100 below.
