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Disk situation: Shanghai rubber high opening oscillation, RU1909 high opening after oscillation operation
.
The day closed at 11955, +1.
36% from the previous session; 472116 volume; Positions 393050, +6390, basis -405, +55; Ru9-January spread -970, -50
.
News: Automobile dealers in January and April: inventory coefficient increased by 20.
5%
year-on-year.
2.
Chinese tire companies
appear on the US sanctions list.
3.
The two ministries and commissions issued specific policies on vehicle purchase tax to clarify the amount of
tax payable.
Market quotation: the quotation of 17-year state-owned whole milk (Yunxiang) in the Shanghai market is 11550 (+150) yuan / ton; Vietnam's 3L quotation is 12000 (+150) yuan/ton; Thailand No.
3 tobacco tablets 13300 (+150) yuan/ton; Yunnan 18 years full latex 11700 (+100) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of natural rubber fresh glue and dry rubber of Hainan State-owned Rubber Processing Plant remained stable at 13,000 yuan / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market raw film 52.
09 (+0.
4) baht/kg; Tai San tobacco tablets 54.
39 (+0.
4) baht/kg; field glue 50.
8 (+0.
2) baht/kg; Cup glue 42 (+0) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price in East China 11300 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 11500 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: warehouse receipt 413980 tons, -200 tons
.
Main positions: Top 20 long positions 99807, +1241, short positions 133475, +545
.
Long and short increase together, headroom decreases
.
Summary: At present, the domestic and foreign production areas are in the rubber tapping period, and the recent rainfall in the Yunnan production area has slightly alleviated the drought, but it is reported that the rubber tapping conditions are still not good; Thailand's dry weather has been significantly alleviated, and raw material output has increased
.
In terms of imports, the customs supervision of the import of mixed rubber has been strengthened, and the domestic import volume in the future market may be slightly reduced
.
From the perspective of inventory, inventory outside the bonded zone decreased slightly, but exchange inventory remained high
.
On the demand side, the recent domestic tire factory operation has remained generally good, but this year's export decline has been obvious, and domestic consumption has gradually entered the off-season, and the demand for the future market is not optimistic
.
Technically, the RU1909 contract is recommended to trade
in the 11700-12150 range for short term.
