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Market situation: Shanghai rubber fluctuated sharply, RU1909 reduced its position and increased, and the futures price closed down
.
The day closed at 12050, -1.
19% from the previous trading day; Volume 699050; Position 399136, -19890, basis -400, +5; Ru9-January spread -975, +5
.
News: 1.
In the first four months, Vietnam's natural rubber exports increased by 24.
5% year-on-year, and exports to China increased by 37.
4%.
2.
The United States plans to extend the EU auto tariff decision
.
3.
In the first four months, China's imports of natural and synthetic rubber increased by 2.
3%
year-on-year.
Market quotation: the quotation of 17-year state-owned whole milk (Yunxiang) in the Shanghai market was 11650 (-150) yuan / ton; Vietnam 3L quotation 12050 (-150) yuan / ton; Thailand No.
3 tobacco tablets 13400 (-150) yuan/ton; Yunnan 18 years full latex 11700 (0) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of natural rubber fresh glue and dry rubber of Hainan State-owned Rubber Processing Plant remained stable at 13,000 yuan / ton
.
On May 20, Thailand's Buddha's Birthday Day will be closed, and the raw material market will be closed
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price in East China 11100 (0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 11200 (0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: warehouse receipt 422490 tons, +300 tons
.
Main positions: Top 20 long positions 101414, -1372, short positions 136433, -3492
.
Long and short are reduced together, and headroom is reduced
.
Summary: At present, the domestic production area has entered the rubber tapping period, and the Yunnan production area has dry weather and partially stopped cutting, pay attention to the weather changes in the later period
.
In terms of imports, Vietnam's exports to China increased sharply year-on-year in April, but with the strengthening of customs supervision over the import of mixed rubber, domestic imports may be slightly reduced
in the future.
From the perspective of inventory, exchange inventory and inventory outside the bonded zone have continued to increase, and supply pressure is still obvious
.
On the demand side, the recent operation of domestic tire factories has remained relatively good, but from the export data, the export decline in the first quarter of this year is obvious, and the demand side is not optimistic
.
Technically, the RU1909 contract is recommended to trade
in the 11900-12300 range for short term.
