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On Thursday, the Shanghai rubber RU2201 contract increased its position and contracted, and the futures price closed slightly lower
.
The current price closed at 13715, -0.
72% from the previous trading day; Traded 305405 lots, position volume 212553 lots, +7382, standard basis -1165; Non-standard basis -1565; RU9-1 spread - 980
.
The NR2111 contract futures closed at 10735, -0.
83% from the previous session; Volume 7519 lots, position volume 17528 lots, +855; NR10-11 spread -125
.
News: 1.
In the first half of 2021, Thailand's natural rubber production increased by 5.
3%
year-on-year.
February and August Malaysia Rubber Production Subsidy (IPG) has not yet been launched
.
3
.
Vietnam has actively taken measures to ensure smooth customs clearance of goods during the epidemic.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 19 years state-owned full latex reported 12550 (-50) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 12600 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1720 (+10) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 October cargo reported 1710 (+5) US dollars / ton
.
Qingdao area RMB Thai mix 12150 (+0) yuan / ton, RMB horse mix 12100 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Hainan state-owned glue into the whole dairy plant 12000 (+0) yuan / ton, into the concentrated dairy plant 12300 (+0) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of glue from dry rubber factory in Yunnan production area refers to 12.
1-12.
4 (+0.
2/0) yuan/kg, and the purchase price of glue in concentrated dairy plant refers to 12.
3-12.
4 (+0.
1/0) yuan/kg
.
Field glue in Hat Yai raw material market in Thailand 48.
5 (+0.
2) baht/kg; Cup glue 44.
45 (-0.
35) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 in North China Market price 12800 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 13700 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 191770 tons, + 560 tons; NR warehouse receipts 29,969 tons, - 1,310 tons
.
Main positions: RU2201 top 20 long positions 91142, + 1524; short positions 136468, + 3843; long and short increase, net short increase
.
Summary: Rainfall in the main producing areas will weaken in the near future, but the impact on rubber tapping will remain
.
In August, due to the delay of the shipping schedule is still relatively serious, the overall number of arrivals is less than expected, the import volume of natural rubber is expected to shrink slightly month-on-month, and the market generally expects that the import volume will increase significantly from October
.
In terms of inventory, as of the week of August 29, China's tianjiao inventory growth rate was eliminated, dark rubber fell more than expected, and light-colored rubber accumulation accelerated
.
Yunnan's alternative planting target is issued, the number of local storage will increase rapidly, and it is expected that the light-colored rubber accumulation warehouse will accelerate
.
On the demand side, export orders have improved slightly, but not as good as seasonal increment expectations, finished product inventory pressure factories still have production control, coupled with the recent environmental protection supervision will be tightened again, last week's start fell month-on-month, due to the suspension of production arrangements in some factories in Dongying area of Shandong, short-term tire starts will decline
.
