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Trade Service
Yesterday, the main force of Shanghai aluminum changed to the 2003 contract
.
Overnight, the Shanghai aluminum main 2003 contract opened at 14060 yuan / ton, after the opening of the short position increase pressure, the pressure on the plate to test down 13995 yuan / ton, then long and short positions in parallel, Shanghai aluminum plate maintained sideways near the main moving average group, and finally closed at 14020 yuan / ton, mainly
long position reduction.
Spot performance has weakened recently, and it is expected that the main operation of Shanghai aluminum will be 13900-14100 yuan / ton within the day, and the spot pair will be 70-90 yuan / ton
in the same month.
The price of Chinalco East China AOO aluminum ingots was 14480 yuan / ton, up 10 yuan
.
At the end of the year, enterprises have stopped work one after another, downstream demand has weakened, electrolytic aluminum inventories at a low level have rebounded slightly, and short-term supply is difficult to increase significantly, and today's spot aluminum prices are expected to rise and fall limited
.
Domestically, SMM reported a domestic output of 3.
036 million tons in December, an increase of 1.
47%
year-on-year.
It is expected to produce 3.
06 million tons in January and an annualized output of 36.
4 million tons, a year-on-year growth rate of 3.
07%.
The spot price premium remained at 100 yuan/ton, and the 01-03 spread widened to 370 yuan/ton
.
At present, the high smelting profit of 1300 yuan / ton is difficult to maintain for a long time, but the social inventory has not accumulated significantly, and it is expected that the social inventory will still increase slightly on Thursday, and it is difficult for the aluminum price to fall smoothly before the Spring Festival, but the probability of Q1 aluminum price shock downward is large
.
