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Market situation: rubber position reduction, RU2001 position reduction, futures price closed down
.
The day closed at 11815, -1.
05% from the previous trading day; Volume 303578, position 355642, -5134, basis -715, +90, Ru1-May spread -165, +0
.
NR2002 closed at 10105, -0.
69% from the previous trading day; Volume 2876, position 25004, -384, basis -498, +39, NR2-5 spread -200, +15
.
News: 1.
According to Longzhong Information, the preliminary value of natural rubber imports in August 2019 was 430,000 tons, down 1.
62% month-on-month and 14.
02% year-on-year, and the cumulative import volume from January to August 2019 was 3.
2915 million tons, down 8.
23%
year-on-year.
2.
In July 2019, Malaysia's tianjiao production increased
year-on-year.
3.
The base of the same period is large, and the sales volume in Europe in August is the largest monthly decline this year
.
Market quotation: the quotation of 17-year state-owned whole milk (Yunxiang) in the Shanghai market is 11100 (+0) yuan / ton; Vietnam 3L quotation 11200 (+0) yuan / ton; Thailand No.
3 tobacco tablets 13500 (+0) yuan / ton; Yunnan 18 years full latex 10950 (+0) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of natural rubber fresh glue and dry rubber of Hainan State-owned Rubber Processing Plant remained stable at 10,800 yuan / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market raw film 39.
63 (-0.
12) baht/kg; Tai San Tobacco Tablets 41.
51 (-0.
28) THB/kg; field glue 40 (+0) baht/kg; Cup glue 33.
5 (+0.
25) baht/kg
.
SMR20 Qingdao Free Trade Zone warehouse price increase of 1345 (-5) US dollars / ton; SIR20 Qingdao Free Trade Zone warehouse warehouse price increase of 1345 (-5) US dollars / ton; STR20 Qingdao Free Trade Zone warehouse price increase of 1355 (+0) US dollars / ton
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price in East China 10800 (+100) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 11500 (+200) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 428140 tons, -850 tons; NR warehouse receipt 0 tons
.
Main positions: RU2001 Top 20 long positions 78051, -1387; short positions 116575, -1917
.
Long and short are reduced together, and headroom is reduced
.
Summary: At present, domestic and foreign production areas are in the rubber tapping period, and the weather in Southeast Asia is better, and the supply will increase significantly in the later period
.
On the demand side, affected by environmental protection factors in September, the operating rate in Shandong may decline, and there is still no bright spot on the demand side
.
At present, the rubber tapping season is still facing an oversupply situation, and the rebound of futures prices is weak
.
Technically, the RU2001 contract price fell under pressure, focusing on the support around 11800 below, and if it effectively fell below, it could be bullish on the first line; The NR2002 contract is weakening with short-term recommendations in the 9900-10200 range
.