Rubber shock closed higher, short-term focus on lower support

News: 1.
According to Longzhong information statistics, as of the week of August 27, the operating rate of domestic semi-steel tire manufacturers was 68.
10%, unchanged from the previous month and up 0.
62% year-on-year; The operating rate of all-steel tire manufacturers was 73.
09%, down 0.
60% month-on-month and up 7.
20%
year-on-year.
2.
The decline in production of Japanese automakers in July narrowed
.
3.
Thailand's exports of natural rubber in July increased month-on-month, while mixed rubber declined
.

Market quotation: Shanghai market 18-year state-owned full latex reported 11800 (+0) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 11600 (+0) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 14950 (+200) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1445 (+5) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 September cargo reported 1455 (+5) US dollars / ton
.
Domestic Yunnan Xishuangbanna glue into the dry rubber factory 10-10.
5 (+0.
1/+0.
1) yuan / kg, into the latex factory 10.
95 (+0.
1) yuan / kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 in North China Market price 8200 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 8100 (+0) yuan / ton
.

Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 214720 tons, -10 tons; NR warehouse receipts 29,263 tons, -303 tons
.

Main positions: RU2101 top 20 long positions 104195, -520; short positions 156073, -34; long and short reduction, net space reduction
.

Summary: From the current fundamental point of view, the current situation of more rainfall in Banna has improved, but the raw materials are still small, the price has strengthened slightly, it is reported that the alternative planting indicators have been issued to various enterprises, and the current overseas rubber has entered customs one after another, and the shortage of raw materials will be alleviated; Hainan rubber tapping work is carried out normally, and the output of new rubber can relatively meet the normal operation of the processing plant
.
The production capacity of new rubber in Southeast Asia was released, but Thailand's output did not reach the peak
due to the tight situation of glue workers.
In terms of inventory, the inventory outside the Qingdao Free Trade Zone continues to accumulate, and it is difficult to destock rubber during the peak supply season
.
In the downstream, tire manufacturers have generally shipped in the domestic market, good shipments in the export market and supporting markets, and the inventory of finished products of manufacturers is still high
.
The September contract is close to delivery, and the low volume of warehouse receipts is favorable to the futures price
.
On the market, the pressure around 13000 above the RU2101 contract is greater, and it is recommended to trade in the 12600-13000 range in the short term; The NR2011 contract is recommended to trade
in the 9700-9950 range for short term.