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Market conditions: rubber increase increment, RU2001 increase in position, futures price closed up
.
The day closed at 11620, +1% from the previous trading day; Volume 238094, position 342440, +6276, basis -820, -150, Ru1-May spread -180, +20
.
NR2002 closed at 9860, +1.
13% from the previous trading day; Volume 5286, position 22172, -104, basis -410, -122, NR2-5 spread -205, -10
.
News: January and September Malaysia rubber production allowance (IPG) has been launched
.
2.
The Thai government plans to launch a 24.
2 billion rubber price difference subsidy plan
.
In March and September, China's auto dealer inventory warning index fell
.
Market quotation: the quotation of 17-year state-owned whole milk (Yunxiang) in the Shanghai market is 10800 (-50) yuan / ton; Vietnam 3L quotation 11000 (+0) yuan / ton; Thai No.
3 tobacco tablets 13400 (+50) yuan/ton; Yunnan 18 years full latex 10900 (+0) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of natural rubber fresh glue and dry rubber of Hainan State-owned Rubber Processing Plant remained stable at 9900 yuan / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market raw film 36.
31 (+0.
43) baht/kg; Tai San tobacco tablets 38.
77 (+0.
24) baht/kg; field glue 35.
8 (+0.
1) baht/kg; THB 30 (+0) / kg
.
SMR20 Qingdao Free Trade Zone warehouse warehouse price increase of 1315 (-5) US dollars / ton; SIR20 Qingdao Free Trade Zone warehouse warehouse price increase of 1315 (-5) US dollars / ton; STR20 Qingdao Free Trade Zone warehouse price increase of 1325 (-5) US dollars / ton
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price in East China 11300 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 12400 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 408440 tons, -350 tons; NR warehouse receipt 0 tons
.
Main positions: RU2001 Top 20 Long Positions 78060, +1797; Short Positions 115369, +1590
.
Long and short increase together, headroom decreases
.
Summary: At present, domestic and foreign production areas are in the rubber tapping period, the supply of Southeast Asia has increased significantly, and the price of raw materials is lower than the same period
of previous years.
The launch of Malaysia's rubber production allowance and the Thai government's plan to launch a 24.
2 billion rubber price difference subsidy program have boosted market sentiment, but the actual effect remains to be verified
.
After the holiday, the operating rate of Shandong tire enterprises may increase, and enterprises have a need
to replenish inventory.
According to Longzhong statistics, as of October 7, the bonded inventory of natural rubber and general trade inventory in Qingdao have fallen sharply, and the pressure on circulation has weakened
.
Technically, the RU2001 contract increased its position to the upside, but it faced pressure around 11680 above, and it is recommended to trade in the 11500-11680 range in the short term; The NR2002 contract focuses on pressure around 9930 and is recommended to trade
in the 9820-9930 range in the short term.
