Rubber futures main force low open oscillation short-term focus on support around 14200

On Tuesday, the main closing price of NR was 11150 (+85) yuan / ton, Qingdao Free Trade Zone Thai standard rubber 1730 (0) US dollars / ton, Malaysian standard rubber 1725 US dollars / ton (0), Indonesian standard rubber 1755 (0) US dollars / ton
.
The basis of the main contract is -157 (-120) yuan / ton
.

Weather in production areas: In the next two weeks, the rainfall in southern Thailand is moderately low, and local light rain will have little impact on rubber tapping, and the trend of raw material output will increase
.

In the first 11 months of 2021, Thailand's exports of natural rubber (excluding compound rubber) totaled 3.
096 million tons, an increase of 29%
year-on-year.
Among them, the total export of standard rubber was 1.
537 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 58%; The export of tobacco flake gum was 457,000 tons, an increase of 33% year-on-year; Latex exports were 1.
085 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4%.

According to the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, China's production of rubber tire tires in November was 80.
421 million, down 2.
7%
year-on-year.

At present, the domestic Yunnan production area is in the suspension period, and the Hainan production area is also close to the shutdown, and the typhoon has limited impact on rubber tapping in Southeast Asia and Hainan production area
.
Due to the soaring freight rates in Southeast Asia, it is difficult to increase the import volume significantly month-on-month, and Qingdao general trade warehouses have recently been stored at a low level, maintaining a relatively fast dematerialization speed
.

Last week, the operating rate of domestic tire factories rose month-on-month, and the start of maintenance manufacturers gradually recovered, driving the overall start to increase slightly, and there are still many uncertainties in the impact of policies such as the Winter Olympics, and manufacturers have moderately reserved inventory
.
However, the inventory of dealers is high, and the foreign trade orders of tire factories are reduced, and the replacement of domestic terminals is gradually coming to an end, coupled with the obvious increase in raw material inventory of factories, the procurement process of tire factories for tianjiao may slow down
.
On the plate, the RU2205 contract opened low and fluctuated, focusing on the support around 14200 in the short term
.