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On Tuesday, the rubber RU2105 contract reduced its position, and the futures price closed slightly higher
.
The current price closed at 14855, +0.
17% from the previous trading day; Volume 382552 lots, position volume 193980 lots, -3181; basis -705; RU5-9 spread -60
.
The NR2104 contract futures closed at 11000, +0.
27% from the previous session; The trading volume is 20859 lots, the position volume is 28950 lots, -1226; NR04-05 spread is -110
.
News: 1.
The number of new confirmed cases in Thailand continues to decline
.
2.
The Thai Rubber Bureau and the Mongolian ambassador discussed rubber cooperation
.
3.
ANRPC: The reduction in global natural rubber production and consumption in 2020 is lower than market expectations
.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 19-year state-owned full latex reported 14150 (-100) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 13550 (-100) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 20700 (-100) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 warehouse spot reported 1645 (+5) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 February cargo reported 1650 (+5) US dollars / ton
.
Thailand Hat Yai raw material market field glue 47 (+1) baht/kg; Cup glue 40.
15 (+0.
55) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 in North China Market price 12600 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 11400 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 167940 tons, +0 tons; NR warehouse receipt 60530 tons, + 1249 tons
.
Main positions: RU2105 Top 20 long positions 89470, + 469; Short positions 133148, -2109; increase and decrease short, net space decreases
.
Summary: From the perspective of overseas production areas, northern Thailand has gradually entered the period of suspension, southern Thailand is also close to the period of suspension, and the supply of raw materials in Thailand is in a decreasing trend
.
In terms of inventory, as of January 31, China's natural rubber social inventory fell by 0.
39% week-on-week, and although the social inventory continued to decline, it was still at a high level overall
.
On the demand side, China's multi-department joint efforts to stabilize international freight have continued to soar, and sea freight has reached an inflection point, and tire export demand is expected to increase
.
However, the Spring Festival is approaching, the pre-holiday stocking is completed, Shandong Dongying and Weifang tire manufacturers ushered in the "holiday tide", some manufacturers have stopped production, it is expected that the operating rate of manufacturers will still show a downward trend this week
.
On the market, the RU2105 contract closed slightly higher, and it is recommended to trade in the 14500-15000 range in the short term; The NR2104 contract is recommended to trade
in the range of 10800-11200.
