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On Monday, the rubber RU2105 contract increased its position and contracted, and the futures price closed higher
.
The current price closed at 14770, +1.
79% from the previous trading day; Volume 517236 lots, position volume 211608 lots, +6551, basis -620; RU5-9 spread -100
.
The NR2103 contract closed at 11020, +1.
29% from the previous session; The trading volume is 17211 lots, the position is 29106 lots, -96; NR03-04 spread is -90
.
News: 1, ANRPC: From January to November, global sky rubber production fell by 8.
3% year-on-year, and Thailand fell by 11.
7%.
2.
Northern Vietnam welcomes a new wave of strong cold air, and the mountainous areas prevent freezing and snow
.
3
.
Bank of Thailand: The current round of the epidemic in Thailand may cause 4.
7 million people to lose their jobs or reduce their incomes.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 19-year state-owned full latex reported 14150 (+150) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 13600 (+100) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 20500 (+150) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1655 (+25) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 January cargo reported 1655 (+25) US dollars / ton
.
Thailand Hat Yai raw material market field glue 49 (-2) baht/kg; Cup gum 39.
5 (+0.
5) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber in North China 1502 market price 12400 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 11400 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 165870 tons, +2000 tons; NR warehouse receipts 50,926 tonnes, +1,412 tonnes
.
Main positions: RU2105 top 20 long positions 93685, +1642; short positions 141001, +2740; long and short increased, net short increased
.
Summary: At present, the domestic production areas have entered the period of suspension, although Thailand is still in the peak production period, but the epidemic spread is still relatively fast, and the country is not closed for the time being, but some provinces are strictly controlled
.
Recently, there has been local rainfall in the main producing areas in southern Thailand, and the output of raw materials has been temporarily normal
.
In terms of inventory, as of January 4, rubber stocks in Qingdao continued to decrease slightly, and it was heard that the sea freight rate from the port of Penang in Malaysia to the main port of China has fallen to a certain extent, and China's imports are expected
to increase.
On the demand side, the recovery of domestic tire manufacturers after the end of production restrictions, coupled with relatively sufficient supporting and export orders, tire starts increased month-on-month; At present, finished goods inventory is in a state of accumulation, but it is lower than the same period
last year.
Due to the high price of raw materials, manufacturers continue to issue price increase notices under cost pressure, which boosts the enthusiasm for starting work
.
On the market, the RU2105 contract increased its position to the upside, focusing on the pressure around 15000 in the short term, and it is recommended to trade in the range of 14500-15000; The NR2103 contract is recommended to trade
in the range of 10800-11200.
