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Market situation: PVC main V2005 contract on Friday narrow range, closing at 6495 yuan / ton, -5 yuan from the previous trading day; Volume 72391 lots, +17900 lots; Position 229655 lots, -977 lots, basis 405 yuan, -25 yuan; 5-9 spread: 45 yuan, +0 yuan
.
News: The operating rate of PVC production enterprises this week was 82.
87%, an increase of 1.
92% from last week and 1.
40% year-on-year; Among them, the calcium carbide method was 84.
16%, an increase of 1.
83% month-on-month and 2.
48% higher than the same period last year, and the ethylene method was 83.
39%, an increase of 1.
99% month-on-month and a year-on-year decrease of 3.
72%.
The maintenance loss of PVC manufacturers in this cycle was 27,090 tons, down 0.
82 from last week, and the maintenance loss in December was 140,000 tons, down 31.
41%
from November.
The operating rate of production enterprises has increased, equipment maintenance has decreased, and the supply of PVC market has continued to rise
.
Spot market: Hebei market is stable, the current 5 type material including tax price 6640-6710 yuan / ton delivery, Inner Mongolia source of goods including tax self-raised price 6430-6500 yuan / ton, excluding tax self-raised price 6040-6110 yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: exchange warehouse receipts report 0 lots, intraday -0 lots
.
Main position: the top 20 long positions in the main contract are 164710 lots, -229 lots, short positions are 162730 lots, -171 lots, and the net position is 1980 lots, net long decrease
.
Summary: The operating rate of PVC production enterprises this week was 82.
87%, an increase of 1.
92% from last week and 1.
40% year-on-year; PVC production enterprises maintenance loss was 27,090 tons, down 0.
82 from the previous month, and the maintenance loss in December was 140,000 tons, down 31.
41%
from November.
The operating rate of production enterprises has increased, and the spot supply of PVC is sufficient
.
PVC social inventory increased by 24.
24% last week month-on-month and decreased by 26.
13% year-on-year, indicating insufficient
market demand.
Downstream maintenance just need to purchase
.
Far futures source procurement is not active, and the psychology of high price resistance is enhanced
.
The domestic calcium carbide market stopped falling and stabilized, the market supply was in the stage of gradual consumption, and the downstream purchasing manufacturers increased their demand with the end of maintenance and the increase of load
.
These factors support the price of PVC
.
It is expected that PVC will maintain a range-bound pattern in the short term, and operationally, it is recommended that investors wait and see for the time being
.