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Market situation: PVC rebounded slightly, V1909 opened at 6690 yuan / ton, the highest reported 6745 yuan / ton, the lowest reported 6670 yuan / ton, closed 6735 yuan / ton, +0.
82% from the previous trading day; Volume 156812 lots, +36292 lots; Position 223038 lots, -12788 lots
.
Basis -60 yuan, -5 yuan, 9-1 spread 230 yuan, -10 yuan
.
News: Asian VCM prices continued to fall, as of August 9, CFR Far East VCM was trading at $660, down $25 from last week, and CFR Southeast Asia was trading at $715, down $25 from last week
.
During the week, the weekly average operating rate of domestic PVC enterprises was 78.
22%, an increase of 0.
39% month-on-month and a year-on-year decrease of 0.
18%, of which calcium carbide method increased by 1.
29% month-on-month and decreased by 1.
37% year-on-year, and ethylene method decreased by 3.
73% month-on-month and increased by 5.
14%
year-on-year.
Spot market: the price of calcium carbide method 5 in Qilu Chemical City was raised by 40 yuan / ton, the quotation was 6720 yuan / ton (including tax self-pickup), the price of ethylene material Qilu was raised, the range was 50-70 yuan / ton, the quotation of S700 was 6880 yuan / ton, and the quotation of S1000 was 6790 yuan / ton
.
The price of Beiyuan 8 type was raised by 40 yuan / ton, and the quotation was 6740 yuan / ton, and the price of Tianye 8 type was increased by 60 yuan / ton, and the quotation was 6960 yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: the exchange warehouse receipt reported 2000 lots, which is in the historical median area, +0 lots
within the day.
Main positions: The top 20 long positions in the main contract are 88282 lots –6216 lots, short positions are 82643 lots, -3244 lots, and net long positions are 5639 lots, -2972 lots
.
Summary: International trade disputes continue to affect market confidence
.
The operating rate of PVC downstream enterprises still decreased significantly year-on-year, indicating that market demand was relatively sluggish, and Asian VCM prices continued to fall, which also weakened the cost support
of PVC to a certain extent.
However, the strengthening of safety production inspections in Inner Mongolia may reduce the operating rate of production enterprises
.
The reduction of anti-dumping duty rates by the Indian Ministry of Finance is expected to increase the export volume of PVC, and PVC in the Asian and US markets has stopped falling and rebounded, and PVC social inventories continue to fall slightly, which supports PVC
.
The fundamentals are long and short, and it is recommended that investors wait and see for the time being
.
