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In the last session, PVC increased its position sharply by more than 2%, and extended its rally in overnight trading, closing at 9135 points
.
At present, raw material calcium carbide is limited by electricity factors and the price of goods is rising, the cost side support is gradually strengthened, coupled with the futures rebound to rise, boosting PVC prices upward, but the off-season effect is still there, so it inhibits PVC to rise sharply, and downstream resistance psychology still exists, in the short term PVC market long and short game, price shock operation ideas remain unchanged
.
In July, under the tightening of the power rationing policy, calcium carbide prices were affected, continuing to climb above 5,000 yuan, resulting in some PVC companies reducing the starting load, production has declined, driven by high costs, the price of PVC on the plate is also breaking through the previous high, to a higher position of 9100 points, because it is currently in the downstream consumption off-season, and the downstream for the current high price and large fluctuations will have a certain resistance, the willingness to take goods will be reduced and may further reduce the starting load, so there is a certain downside risk in the future, Cautious chasing up, low long holding, unopened position is recommended to continue to wait and see
.
The loss caused by shutdown and maintenance this week was 23,280 tons, an increase of 02,550 tons from last week, little change; the mainstream price of calcium carbide PVC in East China was 9050-9200 yuan / ton, and PVC ethylene method in East China was 9300-9300 yuan / ton; calcium carbide delivery price 5150-5390 yuan / ton; As of July 12, the total inventory of sample warehouses in East and South China was 142,950 tons, an increase of 2.
25 percentage points over the previous period and a year-on-year decrease of 45.
12 percentage points
.
As of July 15, the overall starting load of PVC was 81.
99%, down 2.
6 percentage points from the previous month; of which the calcium carbide PVC starting load was 83.
24%, down 2.
91 percentage points from the previous month; the ethylene PVC starting load was 77.
37%, down 1.
14 percentage points
from the previous month.
