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Aluminum market afternoon comment: oil prices strengthened, the next week Lun aluminum slightly rose 0.
07%; Macro pressure remains, the domestic market waits for whether the policy will release space, the market supply is sufficient, and the downstream operating rate has declined, and aluminum is expected to fall
slightly.
Crude oil rose slightly on Friday, and Lun aluminum fluctuated sharply to close Xiaoyang, opening slightly higher at $
2230 today.
Shanghai aluminum opened low and rose to close Xiaoyang at 1858
in the night session.
Shanghai aluminum trading positions are rising, and market sentiment is more optimistic
.
After the holiday, domestic consumption improved, the peak season gradually approached, aluminum inventories fell significantly this week, and there was cost support below the aluminum price, and the medium term may be range-bound or moderate rebound
.
At present, domestic micro bullish + overseas macro bearish is still the main line, but the dovish statement of some Fed officials may become a driving force for market turning, and the market is concerned about the final result of the sanctions imposed on Russian metals by the London Stock Exchange at the end of the month, and the probability of "one-size-fits-all" is expected to be small, and the probability of tariff policy is large
.
The market has the probability of getting out of the volatile market, and the short-term market is gathering
in terms of positive factors.
Pay attention to the pressure level
of 19,000 yuan / ton.