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    Home > Chemicals Industry > New Chemical Materials > Narrow fluctuations in the period of aluminum short-term decline may be limited

    Narrow fluctuations in the period of aluminum short-term decline may be limited

    • Last Update: 2022-12-12
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    On Friday, base metals were mixed, with the Shanghai zinc 1811 contract closing up 1.
    88%, up ahead, while the Shanghai aluminum 1811 contract fluctuated in a narrow range around 14670 yuan / ton, trading at 14755-14605 yuan / ton during the day, and closing at 14655 yuan / ton, down 0.
    37%
    on the day.
    In terms of external trading, as of 16:05 Beijing time, 3-month Lun Aluminum was reported at 2066 US dollars / ton, up 0.
    36% per day, and the technical support below focused on 2000 US dollars / ton
    .

    Period aluminum

    In terms of spot, Shanghai aluminum trading concentration is 14590-14600 yuan / ton, the discount for the month is 20 yuan / ton to Pingshui, Wuxi transaction concentration is 14590-14600 yuan / ton, Hangzhou transaction concentration is 14600-14620 yuan / ton
    .
    Holders are actively shipping, middlemen have no room for operation, downstream enterprises purchase on demand, Jiangyin enterprises are still in rectification, consumption has been suppressed to a certain extent, no obvious signs of recovery of downstream consumption have been seen, and the overall transaction has maintained stability
    .

    On the news front, the Asian dollar index fell under pressure and is now trading around 94.
    9, with the market expecting a trade deal
    between the United States and Canada.
    In addition, the market focused on the US non-farm payrolls data for August, which was expected to be stronger, which was conducive to the rebound
    of the US dollar index.

    In the aluminum market, SMM China's alumina production in August 2018 was 5.
    918 million tons, down 0.
    1% year-on-year, and the average daily output was 191,000 tons, up 0.
    1%
    month-on-month.
    The total output of alumina from January to August was 46.
    183 million tons, up 1.
    8%
    year-on-year.
    In September (30 days), the national alumina production is expected to be 5.
    806 million tons, with an average daily output of 194,000 tons, up 1.
    4% from the previous month, mainly because the output of enterprises that reduced production due to unexpected factors in August was restored, and with the import of bauxite put into production, it began to alleviate the problem
    of tight supply of some domestic bauxite.

    Overall, Shanghai aluminum continued to fluctuate at a low level, but domestic alumina prices remained firm
    .
    And domestic aluminum inventories continue to decrease, and the decline in aluminum prices may be limited
    .
    Operationally, it is recommended that the Shanghai aluminum 1811 contract can be backed above 14550 yuan to bargain long, the entry reference is around 14650 yuan, and the target is 14800 yuan / ton
    .

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