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How to develop China's nuclear energy industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan and beyond, and how to further strengthen nuclear energy technology innovation and safety and quality supervision, at the China Nuclear Energy Sustainable Development Forum-2021 Spring Summit held from April 14th to 16th, Relevant departments, industry associations and authoritative experts gave answers.
According to reports, relevant departments are currently formulating a package of policies including a new round of nuclear power development mid- and long-term plans, the "14th Five-Year Plan for Nuclear Safety and Radioactive Pollution Prevention and the 2035 Long-Term Goals", etc.
, and it is expected that future nuclear energy development safety supervision And technological innovation will be further strengthened.
The next fifteen years is still an important period of strategic opportunities
Guo Zhi, chief economist of the National Energy Administration, said that my country's nuclear power has a good foundation and has entered a stage of high-quality development.
A complete industrial chain of nuclear power equipment has been formed, with the manufacturing capacity to produce 8 to 10 main equipment per year.
The "China Nuclear Energy Development Report 2021" (hereinafter referred to as the "Report") issued by the China Nuclear Energy Industry Association shows that during the "13th Five-Year Plan" period, China has newly invested 20 commercial nuclear power units and added 23.
447 million kilowatts of installed capacity.
"To achieve the goal of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, the development of clean energy, including nuclear power, must be accelerated, and the role of nuclear power will be further revealed.
" Guo Zhi pointed out that the "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines the development of nuclear power in the form of a column for the first time.
Zhang Tingke, vice chairman and secretary-general of the China Nuclear Energy Industry Association, also believes that the country's nuclear power development policies are becoming more active and the industry prospects are expected to be good.
The next 15 years will still be an important period of strategic opportunities for my country's nuclear power development.
The outline of the National Fourteenth Five-Year Plan is clear, and there will be 70 million kilowatts of nuclear power installed in operation by 2025.
The "Report" estimates that by 2025, my country's nuclear power installed capacity under construction will reach about 50 million kilowatts; by 2030, the installed nuclear power capacity in operation will reach 120 million kilowatts, and nuclear power generation will account for about 8% of the country's power generation.
Ping An Securities estimates that based on the estimated unit cost of a single nuclear power plant of about 2.
5 million kilowatts for each phase of two units and about 18,000 yuan per kilowatt for three-generation units, each phase of the project will drive about 45 billion yuan in project investment.
Zhang Tingke said that with the mature application of independent third-generation nuclear power technology in China, the international nuclear power market will further expand the demand for my country's nuclear power technology and supporting capabilities, and the "going out" of nuclear power technology and equipment will also usher in development opportunities.
Investment in technological innovation will be further enhanced
"Innovation is the core driving force for the high-quality development of nuclear power.
" Guo Zhi said that the next step is to vigorously promote innovation, deepen reforms, strengthen co-construction and sharing, build new innovations under the conditions of a new market economy, and systematically promote key core technology battles as soon as possible.
In terms of the localization of key nuclear power equipment, short plates have been supplemented and long plates have been forged.
The "Report" shows that during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, my country’s nuclear power independent innovation capabilities have been significantly enhanced.
Hualong No.
1’s independent third-generation nuclear power technology has been researched and developed.
Major progress has been made in major projects for large-scale advanced pressurized water reactors and high-temperature gas-cooled reactor nuclear power plants.
The R&D of fourth-generation nuclear energy technology and fusion reactors are basically synchronized with the international level.
The world's first reactors of AP1000 and EPR three-generation nuclear power technologies have been built and put into production in my country and completed the first fuel cycle operation.
The successful integration of the independent nuclear power brand "Hualong No.
1" has made my country rank among the forefront of the world in the field of third-generation nuclear power technology.
"Industry basic research and original innovation capabilities need to be further strengthened.
" Zhang Tingke said that the entire industry must continue to increase scientific research, solve key issues affecting the sustainable development of my country's nuclear energy industry one by one, and occupy the strategic commanding heights of nuclear energy technology development and industrial competition.
Vigorously carry out nuclear energy peak shaving, comprehensive utilization, nuclear energy + new energy coupling development and utilization research, provide electricity, heat, water, cooling and other energy supplies.
It is also imperative to promote the application of new technologies such as digitalization.
Guo Zhi said that the current digital and intelligent technology has become an important part of the transformation and upgrading of various industries.
As a high-tech intensive industry, nuclear power should and is more likely to be further researched and promoted in the process of industrial digitization, intelligence and modernization.
The "Report" predicts that in the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the medium and long term, investment in nuclear energy technology innovation will be further enhanced, major research and development results in the field of nuclear energy will continue to emerge, advanced nuclear energy technology is expected to further develop, and the first batch of Hualong No.
1 mass construction projects , High-temperature gas-cooled reactor major project, Guohe No.
1 demonstration project, fast reactor demonstration project, post-processing 200-ton demonstration project, etc.
will be put into operation during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, and the small reactor demonstration project is expected to start construction as soon as possible.
Relying on the rapid development of advanced and cutting-edge technologies, the digital and intelligent development of nuclear energy will be greatly accelerated.
At the same time, the depth, breadth, and dimensions of the comprehensive utilization of nuclear energy are expected to accelerate expansion.
The "Report" judged that the cryogenic heating reactor demonstration project will start construction, and nuclear energy will play a more important role in industrial steam supply, desalination, hydrogen production, nuclear-powered civil ships, and isotope production.
A batch of nuclear energy multi-purpose demonstration projects are expected Gradually landing during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the engineering application of nuclear energy around space development, polar ice breaking, and off-grid power supply and energy supply for remote islands will be further accelerated.
A package of regulations and policies to ensure safety is brewing
While ushering in development opportunities, the experts at the meeting also emphasized that nuclear power must play a greater role in the future energy system, which depends on a higher level of nuclear safety.
Only when nuclear safety is ensured can the nuclear power business be stable and long-term.
“Safety is the top priority for workers engaged in nuclear energy work.
This is our lifeline.
” said Cao Shudong, vice chairman of China Nuclear Energy Industry Association and deputy general manager of China National Nuclear Corporation.
Guo Chengzhan, deputy director of the National Nuclear Safety Administration, said that 49 operating nuclear power units in mainland China are operating safely, and the quality of 15 units under construction is under overall control.
There have been no incidents or accidents of the International Nuclear and Radiation Incident Classification Standard (INES) level 2 or above.
The performance indicators of the World Association of Nuclear Power Operators (WANO) in the past five years have shown that 80% of my country’s nuclear power operation indicators are above the median and 70% are advanced.
The comprehensive index is equivalent to that of the United States and better than France.
"The more we face major development opportunities, the more we must be calm and rational, and calmly face possible risks and challenges.
" Guo Zhi pointed out that my country's nuclear power safety has maintained the world's advanced level, but we must attach great importance to various construction and operation incidents that have occurred in recent years.
, Carefully analyze and summarize and learn lessons.
Guo Zhi emphasized that there must not be an ideological tendency to over-rely on technology due to overconfidence in technology, and to relax safety management.
We must pay close attention to safety and quality management to strengthen the three major factors of people, equipment, and regulations to ensure the absolute safety of nuclear power.
In Guo Chengzhan's view, the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is not only a historical opportunity period for my country to transform from a nuclear power to a nuclear power, but also a key window period for advancing the modernization of nuclear safety governance.
According to him, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment (National Nuclear Safety Administration) is working with relevant departments of the State Council to formulate the "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan for Nuclear Safety and Radioactive Pollution Prevention and Control and Long-Term Goals for 2035.
" While strengthening the top-level design, enterprise groups and operating units must steadily advance the three-year nuclear and radiation safety hazard investigation.
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