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As of 9.
19, PVC futures prices were weak to the downside
.
Raw material prices weakened, supply-side production increased, and inventories increased; It is difficult for short-term downstream product enterprises to improve, the spot market continues to be weak, and some low-price transactions are
acceptable.
Futures market: as of 9.
19, the main PVC closed at 6156 yuan / ton, down 1.
94% from the previous month; Top 20 main long positions: 367651 (+46195), short positions: 442713 (+45676), net short positions: 75062 (-365).
Spot and enterprise dynamics: as of 9.
13, East China (calcium carbide method) quotation: 6380 yuan / ton (-20); South China (calcium carbide method) quotation: 6490 yuan / ton (-25); Lutai Chemical's 360,000-ton PVC plant started about 60%, and the price followed the market; Type 5 factory report 6400 yuan / ton spot exchange; Ningxia Yinglite's 120,000-ton PVC5 unit began maintenance on September 13 and was completed on September 19; On September 19, the overhaul of the Type 3 unit began, and the quotation was stable
during the day.
Type 5 calcium carbide acceptance factory quotation is 6200 yuan / ton
.
Basis: South China basis +334 as of 9.
19; East China basis +224; basis strengthening
.
Upstream raw materials: as of 9.
19, the quotation of North China calcium carbide was 4060 yuan / ton, down 15 yuan / ton from the previous day; Shaanxi Lanchar quoted 1436 yuan / ton, no change
from the previous day's price.
At present, the fundamentals of PVC are relatively calm, still in the "weak supply and demand" stage, on the one hand, the supply-side device restarts, the PVC operating rate increases slightly and there are fewer maintenance enterprises this week, and the maintenance loss has decreased compared with the previous period; On the other hand, although the downstream product industry has improved slightly, the overall demand has not shown obvious highlights
.
Spot goods are still dominated
by "on-demand purchases".
Although real estate policies such as "guaranteeing the delivery of buildings" have been introduced, it is expected that the boost may be limited
.
Peripheral macro risks continue, the transmission of domestic real estate policies still needs time, and market sentiment is temporarily weak
.
From a fundamental point of view, PVC inventory pressure still exists, in the context of increased supply and insufficient demand expectations, PVC short-term or continued weak shock, currently mainly wait-and-see
.
