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Last week, Shanghai aluminum first rose and then suppressed, under the help of production restrictions in many places and the panic of the epidemic, it consolidated at a high level above 19,500, closing at 19,925 yuan / ton on the 6th, down 0.
8%
during the week.
On the macro front, the third round of the epidemic hit market sentiment, and domestic bulk industrial products as a whole maintained a recent wide range of volatility
.
On the supply side, Yunnan, Guangxi, Inner Mongolia and other places are facing power rationing and increasing the code, Yunnan Shenhuo issued an announcement to increase the suspension of 35 electrolyzers to a total of 145 units, and it is estimated that the annual production capacity of the new suspension is 50,000 tons to 200,000 tons
.
The third section of Tianlin, Guangxi, was launched in mid-July, and Debao's plan to put into operation this year is progressing steadily, with some preliminary work completed in May, and the remaining commissioning is expected to be completed in mid-August; Under the dual pressure of power rationing and dual control in Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia Chuangyuan, Jinlian and Huo Coal Hongjun have all expanded the scale of electrolyzer shutdown by
80-150 units.
In July, the second batch of national reserve dumping plan was implemented, and the reserve dumping volume was about 90,000 tons, higher than the previous 50,000 tons, which was still not as much as the market expectation of 100,000 tons
.
In terms of imports, the import profit of the Shanghai ratio retracement is below the profit and loss line, and the current import window is still closed
.
In terms of demand, processing fees rose slightly this week, Shanghai aluminum shocks a few days ago were strong, spot showed a certain discount pattern, market circulation was tight, and enterprises were mainly
buying just needed.
In the next few days, due to the departure of long funds and the impact of Delta virus variables, market concerns, aluminum prices fell back to the spot in a small premium pattern, the transaction has a certain recovery trend, Henan flood disaster has gradually been effectively controlled, aluminum processing leading enterprises operating rate from 66.
5% to 69.
1%, aluminum plate strip operating rate rose to more than
80%.
In terms of logistics and transportation, the impact of the difficulty of spot turnover after the flood has not been eliminated
.
