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Aluminum market morning comment: inventories continue to degrade and expectations of China's consumption recovery stimulate the rebound
of external aluminum prices.
The LME three-month aluminum price rose 1.
78% to $2836/mt
.
Shanghai aluminum overnight trading volatility to the upside, the main 2207 contract closed above 20950 yuan / ton
.
Trading between traders in the morning spot market is still suppressed, downstream on-demand procurement is the mainstay, the overall transaction is not ideal, and the transaction in the South China market is obviously weaker
than that in East China.
Prices in both places are also inverted
.
The mainstream trading price in Shanghai is around 20,800 yuan / ton, which is about 50 lower than the futures discount
.
The mainstream transaction price in Guangdong is around 20670 yuan / ton
.
Dragged down by the real estate market, the current improvement in domestic aluminum market consumption is still limited, and the pressure of output growth continues
.
However, the stimulus policy is expected to gradually take effect, and the expectation of improved consumption has strong support
for prices.
Short-term aluminum prices are strong and volatile, and it is recommended to operate in range
.