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Aluminum market morning comment: overseas spot supply tightened, providing support for external aluminum prices, overnight LME aluminum prices closed higher, March aluminum prices closed up 0.
58% to $2422 / ton
.
Shanghai aluminum fell back in the night session, and the main 2209 contract closed slightly below 17950 yuan / ton
.
In the morning, the spot market trading did not improve, the downstream normal procurement in the early stage was the mainstay, and the market activity in the later period declined, and the transaction turned weak
.
The mainstream trading price in Shanghai is around 17,840 yuan / ton, which is about 20 percent lower than that of futures
.
The mainstream transaction price in Guangdong is around 17810 yuan / ton
.
At present, the fundamentals of domestic supply and demand are obviously weak, consumption is weak and production is rising, and the price pressure is obvious, but there are policy expectations for stable real estate, and the expectation of aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve on the macro side is weakened, which makes it difficult for aluminum prices to fall
sharply for the time being.
However, in the medium term, supply pressure increases, and the price center of gravity is still more likely to decline
.
It is recommended to wait and see in the short term, and operate on the high side in the medium term
.