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Copper market morning comment: London copper fell slightly last week, and the main contract of Shanghai copper closed higher
.
Macro expectations were positive, demand was weakening, and copper prices were under pressure
.
At the macro level, the US interest rate hike expectations have not changed significantly, the economic data is in line with expectations, and the US dollar index is running weakly; Domestically, economic data fell month-on-month in December, and as the impact of the epidemic weakened, the economy is building a bottom and is expected to improve
.
On the supply side, there are still disturbances on the mine side, and TC continues to fall month-on-month; There was an increase in smelting in October, and a decrease in November and December, and the disturbance of crude copper tension still existed; The import window is closed from time to time, and the import supply is still limited; The supply of copper scrap continues to be tight
.
Domestic demand, high copper prices to suppress consumption, coupled with the entry into the consumption off-season, the overall consumption is good, and the demand for pre-holiday reserve may be supported
.
Domestic and foreign inventories rebounded month-on-month, or entered the accumulation stage
.
