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New year new life.
At the end of last year, as my country put forward the goal of achieving more than 1.
From “insignificant” more than a decade ago to “important” today, and then to “take the big responsibility” in the future, the role of new energy in the energy system has become more and more important.
New energy parity is not the end.
The historical era of "100 million kilowatts" is here
According to data from the my country Electricity Council, as of the end of October 2020, the total installed capacity of wind power and solar energy in China is about 460 million kilowatts.
The new energy industry forecasts more optimistic goals.
There has never been a precedent in the history of Fengjing’s annual increase of more than 70 million kilowatts.
“I know that everyone’s heart is warm, but you must be calm.
Technological progress is the certainty in all uncertainties
The core of preventing climate change is not climate, but technology.
Fossil energy has become the cornerstone of the modern energy system for two important reasons: first, it has high energy density and can meet high-power and long-distance applications; second, it is stable in nature.
It is liquid and solid under normal temperature and pressure, making it easy to produce, Storage and transportation.
This characteristic is due to the fact that the earth has converted the biomass of the year into oil, coal and natural gas through the high temperature and high pressure inside the earth for hundreds of millions of years.
With the improvement of wind power efficiency, photovoltaic conversion efficiency and battery energy density, new energy is considered to be the direction of high-level civilization.
New energy is the commanding height of the technological revolution and industrial revolution.
In the post-epidemic era, whoever masters new energy technology will get the ticket to advanced civilization.
In terms of resource reserves, my country’s wind and solar resources have no “ceiling”, which is sufficient to support the rapid growth of new energy.
At the same time, the decline in costs also makes new energy more and more alternative advantages over traditional energy.
In the past 10 years, the cost of new energy in my country has dropped rapidly.
The cost of photovoltaic, onshore wind power and offshore wind power have been reduced by 82%, 39%, and 29% respectively.
From the perspective of the supporting capacity of the industrial chain, whether wind power or photovoltaic, my country has formed the most complete industrial chain in the world.
Although individual components are still controlled by others, if there is a large-scale market demand pull, these "points" breakthroughs are not out of reach.
The increase in production capacity can also be achieved through marketization.
When resources, ecology, cost, industrial chain and production capacity are no longer the shackles of the development of new energy, what is it that hinders the new energy from "taking the big responsibility"?
Xie Zhenhua, Special Advisor on Climate Change Affairs of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, when talking about the issue of “carbon neutrality”, pointed out: “We must actively study the development of low-carbon zero cost, high benefit, obvious emission reduction effect, safe and controllable, and promising promotion prospects.
Carbon-negative technology, vigorously develop large-scale energy storage, smart grid, distributed renewable energy and hydrogen energy and other deep decarbonization technologies, research and develop carbon capture, utilization and storage technologies, accelerate industrial technology and green material technology, advanced manufacturing, Integration and innovation of informatization and intelligence.
"
The volatility and intermittent characteristics of new energy cannot be avoided.
When the proportion of new energy in the system is less than 10%, its volatility and intermittentness can be hedged by the power system.
When new energy "takes the big responsibility" as the main energy and base load energy, new energy must take the initiative.
This is also the key to whether new energy can completely dominate the energy world and accelerate the withdrawal of coal and oil with an overwhelming cost advantage in the next 10 years.
Envision Energy is a firm leader in the advancement of new energy technology and energy transformation.
It uses the "three new" strategies of "new coal", "new petroleum" and "new grid" to give the industry clear solutions: wind power, photovoltaics and energy storage.
To become the “new coal” of the future, power batteries and hydrogen fuels become the “new petroleum”.
Around wind power and photovoltaics, the power grid needs to be upgraded to a more flexible “new power grid” using smart Internet of Things technology.
Realize the technological progress of wind, solar, and storage coordination, and make wind farms into intelligent, tradable, and power supply solutions that better match the needs of the grid.
In Envision Energy's view, new energy must demonstrate the courage and determination to actively use technology to overcome volatility.
Energy storage can help increase the credibility of wind power and photovoltaic capacity, improve energy conversion efficiency, improve power prediction through intelligent means, and provide a certain adjustment margin for the system.
These are key technologies that support my country's mid- to long-term energy structure transformation.
Adapting to zero-carbon development, the power system needs to be reconstructed
The future is always born in pessimism and grows in doubt.
Although the goal of "carbon neutrality" is clear, there are endless doubts.
Especially recently, the power shortage crisis in Hunan and other places once again reminded the industry that while rapidly expanding the installed capacity of new energy, the new energy that "takes the responsibility" must meet the people's demand for high-quality power development.
Ren Yuzhi also said that as the reform of the power system continues to deepen, new energy forms such as photovoltaics and wind power will gradually participate in the market, which is the general trend.
How to successfully participate in the power market is a problem that all parties in the industry must jointly study and solve during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period.
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