Express plastic packaging will be gradually banned by 2025, and the demand for degradable plastics and corrugated paper will surge

Among them, paper packaging is dominated by corrugated paper, accounting for up to 96.
18%; plastic packaging materials mainly include plastic bag films (excluding pearl bags and filled film plastics), woven bags, foam boxes, pearl bags, tapes and filled plastics, etc.
Among them, ordinary plastic bag film accounts for the highest proportion, with a mass proportion of 62.
90%
.
For express plastic bag film, about 80% of the mass ratio is recycled from waste, and its waste is likely to cause environmental pollution
.

3.
The ban on plastics stimulates the growth of demand for corrugated paper and degradable plastics in the express delivery industry

According to the calculation of the growth rate of China's express delivery business in recent years, by 2025, China's express delivery business volume will reach 134.
9 billion pieces, with a compound annual growth rate of 13.
4%
.

In 2019, among the 63.
52 billion express parcels in the country, paper packaging express accounted for about 58.
6% (according to the proportion in 2018, including corrugated boxes, document bags, set cartons), and plastic packaging accounted for about 41.
1% (including plastics).
bags, pearl bags, woven bags, foam materials), other types accounted for 0.
4%
.

According to the plan of "Opinions on Further Strengthening the Control of Plastic Pollution", by 2022, non-degradable plastics will be banned in express plastic packaging in key provinces and cities across the country, and in 2019, express delivery services in key provinces and cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong) will be banned.
The volume accounts for 48.
17% of the country's total.
By 2025, non-degradable plastics will be banned from express delivery nationwide
.

The materials that replace non-degradable plastics are paper packaging (mainly corrugated paper) and degradable plastics.
Assuming that 30% of the non-degradable plastic materials are replaced by paper materials and 70% of materials are replaced by degradable plastics, then By 2022, the proportion of plastic packaging express delivery will drop to 35.
2%, and by 2025, it will drop to 28.
8%
.

Compared with 2019 (measured by proportion), the impact of the ban on plastics will lead to an increase of 16.
59 billion pieces of potential demand for paper packaging and express delivery in 2025, and an increase of 38.
85 billion pieces of plastic packaging express delivery using degradable plastics (in 2019, domestic plastics The proportion of degradable plastics used in packaging and express delivery is far less than 1%, which is ignored)
.

In paper packaging and express delivery, the use of corrugated paper accounts for 96.
18%.
According to the calculation of a single piece of paper packaging and express delivery is 288.
08 grams, and a single piece of plastic packaging is 40.
87 grams.
In 2025, due to the impact of the ban on plastics, the potential demand for corrugated paper for express packaging The increase is 4.
5966 million tons, and the potential increase in degradable plastics demand is 1.
5878 million tons
.

Compared with 2019, the impact of the ban on plastics will lead to an increase of 16.
59 billion pieces of potential demand for paper packaging in 2025, and a potential increase of 38.
85 billion pieces of plastic packaging using degradable plastics; in 2025, the potential demand for corrugated paper for express packaging will increase The increase in demand is 4.
5966 million tons, and the increase in potential demand for degradable plastics is 1.
5878 million tons
.

4.
Express plastic packaging will be gradually banned before 2025

On January 19, 2020, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Ecology and Environment issued a new version of the Plastic Restriction Order - "Opinions on Further Strengthening the Control of Plastic Pollution".
Compared with the old version, the new version plans three-stage plastic restriction implementation goals, as well as four The use of plastics in key areas (non-degradable plastic bags, disposable plastic tableware, disposable items for hotels, fast plastic packaging) is restricted
.

In the field of express plastics, it is proposed that by the end of 2022, postal express outlets in Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong and other provinces and cities will first prohibit the use of non-degradable plastic packaging bags, disposable plastic woven bags, etc.
, to reduce non-degradable plastic bags.
amount of plastic tape used
.
By the end of 2025, postal express outlets nationwide will ban the use of non-degradable plastic packaging bags, plastic tapes, and disposable plastic woven bags
.