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Since the beginning of this year, the plasticizer industry has been in the adjustment stage of marginal surplus, and the sudden new crown epidemic has caused the industry to suffer heavy losses.
The internal control is fully controlled, and since then, strong support at the policy level has been carried out in an all-round way, such as more precise, stronger and wider range of fee reduction and tax reduction, etc.
We will fully support the resumption of work and production of enterprises, etc.
Therefore, in the second quarter, especially after May-June, with the rapid recovery of production and life after the staged victory of the domestic epidemic, and the domestic economic entities effectively resisting the external epidemic risks, we will focus on the comprehensive recovery of domestic demand
.
However, the continuous outbreak of foreign epidemics still has a serious impact on some domestic export-oriented leading industries
.
Figure 1 2019-2020 DOTP Shandong market trend chart
Around mid-April, there were rare changes in the DOTP market over the years.
The main reason was that the upstream propylene of octanol was strongly affected by the market explosion of meltblown cloth, and the octanol market was passively followed.
At the same time, downstream product companies adopt a wait-and-see attitude to reduce purchases due to excessive costs, which hinders cost transmission, and the plasticizer inventory rises rapidly, causing the market to fluctuate in a short period of time
.
Figure 2 DOTP overcapacity and operating rate declining year by year
The DOTP industry itself is at risk of overcapacity.
Under the impact of the epidemic, the production and sales of manufacturers are sluggish.
The operating rate and output of the industry hit a record low in February and March, and business operations are suffering
.
Figure 3 DOTP4-June profits and construction start up simultaneously
Although after entering the high temperature season, the demand for DOTP has decreased again, and the orders of downstream products companies have declined cyclically, especially the orders of medical PVC products have begun to decline.
The tuyere disturbance also came to an end.
Due to the small proportion of actual demand, the demand for main cable materials and packaging materials entered the off-season cycle in the same period, and the decline in the demand for plasticizers was the main reason for the adjustment of the environmental protection plasticizer market such as DOTP
.
However, it is expected that after the high temperature season, starting in late August, the market will gradually return to the recovery stage.
The demand for orders such as medical gloves is expected to rise again, but it is expected that it will be difficult to cause a strong disturbance to the overall market operation of environmental plasticizers, mainly in the building materials industry.
Under the overall recovery cycle, the demand for PVC soft product materials will pick up significantly
.