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2020 , the domestic ethylene production capacity continues to grow, as of 2020 in 10 months, the domestic ethylene production capacity reached 3300 million tons, compared with 2019 promotion year 15.
2020 , the domestic ethylene production capacity continues to grow, as of 2020 in 10 months, the domestic ethylene production capacity reached 3300 million tons, compared with 2019 promotion year 15.
In the past, research on ethylene mostly focused on production capacity, output, imports, etc.
1.
Domestic ethylene from three routes: a naphtha cracker, CTO / MTO , and light hydrocarbon cracking, as of 2020 in 10 months, the domestic ethylene production capacity reached 3300 million tons, compared with 2019 promotion year 15.
In 2018 and 2019 , the annual import of ethylene both exceeded 2.
2.
Domestic ethylene commodity supply mainly comes from two channels, one is imports, and the other is domestic installations.
Ethylene imports have exceeded 1.
On the whole, 2020 annual ethylene product is about 300 million tons.
There are three main modes of transportation of domestic ethylene products, one is pipeline transportation, the second is shipping, and the third is automobile transportation.
Shipment of ethylene is mainly derived from the need for imports.
3.
Domestic demand for ethylene commodities mainly comes from styrene, ethylene oxide, vinyl chloride (polyvinyl chloride), ethylene propylene diene rubber ( EPDM ), ethylene glycol ( EG ), EVA , HDPE, etc.
IV.
It is expected that the increase in domestic ethylene in 2021 will mainly come from the new capacity reaching production in 2020.
The new capacity that can be implemented in that year will basically be postponed until the second half of the year.
The formation of mass production of this part of the new capacity will not be until 2022 .
It is expected that the commercial ethylene that can be provided in 2021 will also increase over the previous year, but the increase is limited.
Therefore, it is expected that more ethylene will be needed to supplement the import volume in 2020 .
As new devices that need to purchase ethylene into the plant will be put into production and reach production in 2020 and 2021 , it is expected that domestic ethylene commodity demand will rise to a higher level in 2021 , reaching 3.
6-4 million tons.
6-4 million tons.
