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On Monday, Liansu L2101 contract reduced its position, and the futures price fluctuated higher, closing at 8000 on the day, +180 yuan from the previous trading day; The trading volume was 339270 lots, the position volume was reported 199147 lots, -5738, and the basis was 205 yuan
.
News: 1.
The total output of polyethylene in November 2020 was 1.
7807 million tons, a decrease of 2.
40% from the previous month and an increase of 16.
48%
over the previous year.
From January to November 2020, the output of polyethylene reached 18.
1788 million tons, an increase of 13.
40%
over the same period last year.
According to Longzhong estimates, the estimated output of polyethylene in December was 1.
932 million tons, +151,000 tons from the actual output of the previous month and +311,400 tons
from the same period last year.
2.
According to Longzhong statistics, the known maintenance impact of polyethylene in China in 2021 is about 772,400 tons, involving a total of 14 production enterprises, accounting for 31%
of the total number of enterprises in the country.
Among them, CNPC system involves two companies, namely Jihua and Fushun; Sinopec System involves 5 enterprises; Among the coal enterprises, 6 enterprises are involved, accounting for 46%
of the total number of coal enterprises in the country.
Market quotation: North China Daqing Petrochemical 7042 mainstream price is 8100 yuan / ton, +150 yuan
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: 1133 warehouse receipts, -11 sheets
.
Main positions: Top 20 long positions 134104, -920, short positions 133445, -6708
.
Net idling to net more
.
Summary: PE has a new equipment planned to be put into production in December, and the number of equipment for later maintenance is gradually reduced, indicating that the market supply has increased
.
As the weather gradually becomes colder, the demand for pipes in the north gradually weakens, the demand for agricultural film is general, and only the demand for packaging film is still good
.
However, the two barrels of oil and petrochemical inventories continue to remain low, indicating that the pressure on the supply side is not large, and the current PE East China inventory is also in the low area, which will support PE.
Operationally, investors can set a take profit in their hands and hold
them cautiously.
