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    Home > Chemicals Industry > New Chemical Materials > Cable raw materials (copper) weekly report (5.8-5.12)

    Cable raw materials (copper) weekly report (5.8-5.12)

    • Last Update: 2022-12-05
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    First, macroeconomics

    First, macroeconomics

    Internationally: US wholesale sales in March 0.
    0% m/m vs 0.
    6% prior, revised to 0.
    7%; US Import Price Index 0.
    5% m/m in April, -0.
    2% prior, 0.
    2% estimated; US export price index for April 0.
    2% m/m, 0.
    2% prior, estimate: 0.
    2%; The US NFIB small business confidence index for April was 104.
    5, the previous value was 104.
    7, the forecast was 104.
    0; the US unemployment rate was 4.
    4% in April, compared with 4.
    6% expected and 4.
    5% in the previous month; U.
    S.
    non-farm payrolls changed in April: 211,000, prior: 98,000, estimate: 190,000, and Eurozone investor confidence rose to 27.
    4 points in May from 23.
    9 in April, hitting its highest level
    since July 2007.
    The latest U.
    S.
    economic data performed brightly, indicating that the U.
    S.
    economic recovery is strong, and economic indicators are generally better than expected, giving the Fed a green light to raise interest rates in June
    .

    Domestically: China's consumer price index in April was 1.
    2% y/y, 0.
    9% prior, 1.
    1% estimated; China's April producer price index was 6.
    4% y/y, 7.
    6% prior, 6.
    7% estimated; China's April import annualized rate (in RMB) was 18.
    6%, 26.
    3% in the previous month, and 29.
    3% in the estimate; China's April export annuality (in RMB terms) was 14.
    3%, 22.
    3% in the previous month, and 16.
    8% in the forecast; China's April trade balance (RMB) was 262.
    3 billion yuan, compared with 164.
    3 billion yuan in the previous month and 197.
    2 billion yuan in the estimate
    .
    China's slowing economic growth signaled weakness in its industrial metals demand
    .

    Second, this week's market trend analysis

    Second, this week's market trend analysis

    (i) Market analysis

    (i) Market analysis

    Analysis of key products of cable raw materials (copper): This week (May 8-May 12) domestic copper prices fluctuated, the main force of Shanghai copper first fell and then rose, the middle of the week to a wide range of shocks, to Thursday noon, the price pulse rose again, but then under pressure fell again, basically maintained a low level of shock
    .
    Taking the Yangtze River spot market as an example, according to the monitoring data of the cable network, the average copper price at the beginning of the week was 45,020 yuan / ton, and the average copper price on Friday was 44,950 yuan / ton, down 70 yuan / ton, a decline of about
    0.
    16%.

    Cable raw materials (copper)

    Macro: The People's Bank of China launched a 459 billion yuan MLF operation, keeping the winning interest rate unchanged, which brought a certain boost to the financial market and alleviated the panic caused by the tightening of market money flow
    .
    As the bank and the three associations each launched strict supervision and leverage checks, stocks and bonds were killed
    .
    However, the tone of the central bank is still mainly stable, and the current level of interest rates is still on the low side, so it is not possible to induce financial risks, and commodity prices will continue to come under pressure
    .
    In addition, the US interest rate hike in June is approaching, the market is expected to raise interest rates strongly, and the US dollar is gradually recovering, which is also bearish commodity prices
    .

    Market: At the beginning of this week, downstream manufacturers continued to wait and see
    due to unstable copper prices and sluggish demand.
    As spot premiums fell at the same time as prices fell, traders tightened supply and waited and watched
    .
    Since Tuesday, trading has been weak, spot copper supply is sufficient, brands are diversified, and the premium has narrowed, but downstream consumption is sluggish, shipments are very poor, and holders can only lower the premium transaction, no downstream obvious entry into the market, weak transactions, this state has been maintained until Friday
    .
    On Friday, although the holders actively quoted, the downstream was still mainly wait-and-see, supply and demand were slightly deadlocked, and the transaction was weak
    .

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