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First, macroeconomics
First, macroeconomicsDomestic: China's official second-quarter data continued to maintain strong momentum, with GDP growth remaining stable at 6.
9%, exceeding external expectations
.
This is mainly due to the joint efforts of the troika that drives economic growth, especially the climbing
rate of consumption growth.
The Caixin China Index came in at 51.
5 in July, down 0.
1 percentage points
from June.
However, the Caixin China composite PMI still recovered to 51.
9 in July, the highest in
four months.
From the data, the main driving force for the overall growth rate of China's economic activities comes from the continuous recovery of manufacturing production activities, and the growth rate of the service industry is weak
.
Internationally: The latest Fed interest rate decision remains unchanged as expected, and market speculation will soon begin the Fed's balance sheet reduction plan
to gradually move away from large-scale economic stimulus.
The specific date and whether to raise interest rates again also depends on the performance of the US economic data in the second half of
the year.
The data shows that the number of jobless claims in the United States (10,000) continues to fall below the 300,000 mark, and the good data on new housing starts indicate that the US economy is in a relatively stable stage
.
2.
Analysis of this month's market trend
(i) Market analysis
(i) Market analysis
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