Wu De, a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) who helps you figure out how to count African swine fever.

Pork is the most important source of animal protein for chinese residents and plays an important role in the diet structure of our country.
the demand for pork in our country every year? We look for answers from the supply side.
2017, China had 440 million pigs, 702 million pigs, about half of the world's pig production, pork production of 54.518 million tons, accounting for 63% of total meat production.
each of us consumes an average of 40 kilograms of pork a year, well above the global average.
the release of China's CPI data in July 2020, many media colleagues made a special subheading under the main headline "July CPI rose 4.5% YoY" - "Pork prices rose 85.7% YoY".
only around this subheading, in the past month, including the CPPCC's key concerns briefing, concerned about "'Page' is so expensive?" Officials, think tanks, and anecdos are talking about it.
today we're going to talk about stocking meat, about "sending live pigs a thousand miles", about raising pigs on the economic accounts.
(Q-Q; A-A).
Q: What kind of meat is reserved meat? How long is the reserve period? Why is it cheap to stock meat? A: In this regard, Sun Lifen introduced that the national reserve meat refers to the Ministry of Commerce in the country's provinces and cities set up live pig reserves and frozen meat reserves, is to respond to emergencies, to calm the fluctuations in meat prices an important means.
whenever meat is in large shortages and prices rise, the state may use its reserves of meat to stabilize the market and fill the gap in the supply of fresh meat, which is a regulatory tool.
so the price of reserve meat will be lower.
the reserve meat is rotated over a four-month reserve cycle, i.e. four months.
Q: Thousands of miles to live pigs, effectively supplement the source of meat? A: Live bacteria affect the safety of the industrial chain, strain transport pigs for meat transport mentioned African swine fever, a common sense needs to be popularized is that this is an acute, hemorrhagic, severe infectious disease, the disease of pigs eventually vomit blood and die, the fatality rate is 100%.
mode of infection of this disease is mouth-to-mouth, aerosols, to be clear, if there is a pig in the pig house infected, other pigs are very difficult to escape.
, if an outbreak occurs during long-distance transport of pigs, pigs that are not otherwise sick in the destination pig house will be rapidly infected.
, the death of sows will directly lead to an imbalance between supply and demand in the pork market.
Q: Meat prices rise, farmers earn pots full? A: Coupled with the losses caused by African swine fever, the main reason for the increase in meat prices at this stage of consolidated accounting is the shortage of pork market supply caused by African swine fever.
but in Ma Rongcai's view, meat prices and pig prices are linked, but the high price of meat is not necessarily pig farmers earn more.
from breeding, slaughtering to the hands of consumers, there are many intermediate links.
mainly include feed cost, epidemic prevention cost, labor cost, depreciation cost and so on.
the current stage of pig farmers per kilogram cost about 18 yuan, each pig out of the column weight of 110 kg, the cost of 1980 yuan / head.
market pig price of 36 yuan / kg, a pig breeding profit of 1980 yuan.
pork price is 46 yuan / kg, the meat yield is calculated at 72%, 110 kg x 0.72 x 46 yuan / kg - 3643 yuan.
Wu De calculated an account: according to the farmer's own pig breeding model calculation (and one is a substitute), breeding scale of 1200 head, the construction of pighouses and equipment investment total 1.1 million yuan, labor costs of 38,000 yuan per year, each batch of piglets need 60,000 yuan for daily operation and maintenance, cleaning costs 10,000 yuan, annual depreciation of equipment and pig house 9. 250,000 yuan, the cost of each piglet is 1500 yuan, drug costs 45 yuan, feed cost is 2000 yuan, out of the column survival rate of 90%, out of the column number of 1080 head, out of the column each "Page" weight average of 150 kg, fat pig purchase price is currently 36 yuan per kilogram.
close the fine account to calculate the big account, the farmer through the piglets, can earn 5.832 million yuan, less all costs, net profit of 2.717 million yuan, the average pig profit of 2264 yuan.
The current price of pigs, influenced by supply and demand, benefits farmers, but if you take into account the impact of African swine fever on our pig industry since 2018 and the losses that farmers have suffered as a result, this benefit is now partly a compensation.
In order to make pork affordable for the people, data from the National Development and Reform Commission show that in 2019, a total of 13.894 billion yuan in temporary price subsidies were distributed across the country, benefiting 452 million people in need;
" For farmers who have suffered a large number of pig deaths as a result of the African swine fever attack, the current increase in farm profits can make appropriate compensation for the previous losses, thereby maintaining the presence and enthusiasm of industry practitioners;
," Wu said.
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