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In 2022, after the lily production is new, it will be reported that due to the impact of extreme weather, the mu yield will be greatly reduced, which has caused the production area and market popularity to gather rapidly, and the market has risen
sharply.
However, the social stock of this variety is not small, can the price continue to rise in the future? In this issue, the big data platform of Tiandi Cloud Map Chinese medicine industry analyzes the market of this variety based on production and sales data
.
First, the lily market, the movement of the production area Bozhou market: At present, Hunan and other lily real estate are basically over, this year's new goods output is not large, and the recent market is steadily rising; The market has new goods coming in one after another, the source of goods moves smoothly, the current market lily sulfur-free unified goods price of 36-40 yuan (kg price, the same below), the selection price of 55 yuan, the price of pharmaceutical factory feeding goods 25 yuan, the market pays attention to the digestion of the source of
goods.
Yulin market: Recently, the market has a batch of goods, but the volume is not large, merchants are mostly according to the demand plan purchase, the market is strong and good, the current Hunan unified price between 34-35 yuan
.
This year's production reduction, the future market is worth paying attention to
.
Anguo market: At present, the lily production is newly ended, this year's source output is not large, the recent market is steadily rising, the current market lily sulfur-free unified goods price is 36-40 yuan, the selection price is 55 yuan, the price of pharmaceutical factory feeding goods is 25 yuan, and the market changes need to pay attention to the digestion of the
supply.
According to the lily dealers in Hunan origin, the local production has ended, and the planting area has decreased this year, coupled with the decrease in mu yield due to weather in the early stage, the lily market continues to rise
after the new production.
At present, the local lily source is basically exported, and the price of the unified goods in the origin is around 35 yuan, and it is expected that the price may
change.
Second, the market recovery Chart: 2017-2022 lily market price chart Lily market fluctuates frequently
.
At the end of 2016, the price of lilies bottomed out, falling to 18-20 yuan, merchants have low enthusiasm for purchase, and the price has also risen after the inventory is gradually consumed, rising to 30 yuan in 2017 and 37 yuan
in 2018.
The high price stimulated the recovery of lily production capacity, and in 2019, the planting area increased sharply, and the price fell back to about
34 yuan.
Due to the habitual planting of farmers, the scale of lily planting in 2020 has not been adjusted, coupled with insufficient edible consumption, the price continues to fall
after the new production.
The price of medicinal lilies containing sulfur fell to 13-16 yuan, the price of sulfur-free goods fell to the bottom of 22 yuan, while the price of fresh lilies was only 3-4 yuan, a record low price
.
At the end of 2020, many merchants bought goods at the bottom and actively bought, and the price rose slightly to about 20 yuan, and then fell
back due to poor demand.
In 2021, the news of production reduction was reported again, and merchants hoarded lilies, and the market rose again, but due to inventory constraints, the price rose to around 24 yuan and stopped
abruptly.
In 2022, the extreme weather in Hunan caused the production of lilies to decrease, which made the popularity of the new production and the price increased
significantly.
Third, the planting area in Hunan has decreased, and the planting area in secondary production areas has increased In China, the range of lily cultivation is wide, after being introduced from Jiangsu to Hunan and Anhui, Hunan is mainly developed in the central and western regions, and Shaodong, Xiangxi, Longhui, Anhua, Changsha, Yueyang, Pingjiang, Yuanjiang, Liuyang, Longshan, Miluo and other places are planted
.
Due to the problem of continuous stubble, lily planting needs to expand the land, so the production area has gradually expanded to Anhui, Hubei, Henan, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Jiangxi, Guizhou, Yunnan and other places
.
The planting area of the main producing areas of Hunan has decreased for various reasons, but the planting area of other producing areas has increased, and the overall area has increased
under the increase and decrease.
According to statistics from the big data platform of Tiandi Yuntu Chinese medicine industry, the output of lily in 2020 is about 28,339 tons, and the output in 2021 is about
25,300 tons.
Fourth, the amount of edible fresh goods has increased significantly Lily is a dual-use variety of medicine and food, which can moisturize the lungs and relieve cough, clear the heart and calm the nerves, and is clinically used to treat lung heat cough, dry lung cough, cough and hemoptysis
.
In recent years, the demand for lily edible has increased, and relevant data show that in Guangzhou alone, the annual demand for dried lily tablets has reached more than 3,000 tons, the annual sales volume of Chengdu, Hebei, Guangxi and other markets is about 6,000 tons, and the annual demand for fresh lilies in East China is between
8,000-10,000 tons.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of Tiandi Yuntu Chinese medicine industry, the consumption of lily in 2020 was about 22,160 tons, and the amount in 2021 was about
23,860 tons.
V.
Analysis of Main Demand Products and Enterprises In terms of demand for proprietary Chinese medicines, through the screening of 7,702 proprietary Chinese medicines monitored by the platform, 65 proprietary Chinese medicines currently on the market contain lilies, and the top Chinese proprietary medicines are Brain Cleansing Liquid, Chuanbei Sydney Syrup, Chuanbei Sydney Balm and so on
.
The top Chinese patent medicine enterprises with high demand for lily are Sichuan Zhongfang Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Li Shizhen Pharmaceutical Group Co.
, Ltd.
, Guangzhou Huacheng Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, etc
.
Sixth, the prediction of the future market 1.
Large planting area of lilies The planting cycle of lilies is short, starting to plant in September and October every year, and starting to dig in July to August of the following year, and the planting difficulty is low, the popularity is high, and it has become a key support variety
in various places.
This has led to a sharp decline in the market, and the planting area has not been greatly reduced, and even in 2022, the planting area in Guizhou, Guangxi and Jiangxi will increase
significantly.
2.
The current price farmers have a lot of income The planting cost of Hunan medicinal lily growers is 18 yuan, and the planting cost of farmers is 14 yuan
.
According to the price of 35 yuan in the production area, farmers earn 20 yuan per kilogram, and large households earn 15 yuan
per kilogram.
According to the average mu yield of 200 kg, the overall income is good
.
In summary, the rise in the lily market is bound to stimulate the expansion of planting area this year, and at the same time, this variety is also a variety
that can be vigorously developed by rural revitalization projects.
However, Lily has just come out of the trough of the market in 2019-2020, and if production increases sharply next year, the market is bound to fall
again.
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