With new production cuts, will the price of apocynum leaves go higher in the future?

Due to the continuous expansion of the tea market in recent years, the demand for apocynum leaves has increased significantly.
However, due to the limited reserves of wild resources of this variety, the market will break out at the end of 2021.
How will the price work in the future? In this issue, the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry of Tiandi Yuntu makes an analysis of the market of this variety based on the production and sales data
.
1.
Accelerating sales in origin and market Anguo market: With the digestion of apocynum leaf stocks, merchants increased their purchasing efforts at the end of the year, and the movement of goods sources accelerated before the year before, and the market price continued to rise
.
In the market, the price of apocynum leaves in Tianjin is between 29 and 32 yuan (the price per kilogram, the same below)
.
Bozhou Market: Apocynum leaves, the volume of new products produced in 2021 is not large.
As the market inventory bottomed out, merchants were reluctant to sell, and the market rose rapidly a year ago
.
The price of new apocynum leaves in the market is around 30 yuan, and merchants pay close attention to the price changes in the market outlook
.
Yulin Market: The volume of apocynum leaves in the market is limited, and some merchants pay attention to them and actively acquire them, driving the price to rise rapidly a year ago
.
In the market, the price of apocynum leaves in Xinjiang is around 23 yuan; the price of Tianjin products is 30 yuan, and the quality is slightly poorer at 25 yuan
.
Apocynum leaves dealers from Hebei origin introduced that the local area is a wild resource, and the output is decreasing year by year
.
At present, the origin of goods is basically exported to the market, and the price of local high-quality unified goods is between 26-28 yuan
.
2.
Big picture of price fluctuations: 2017-2022 market price chart of apocynum leaves.
Apocynum leaves have long been supplied to the market as wild resources.
With the expansion of market demand, from around 2001, many domestic production areas began to try small-scale home cultivation supplementary market
.
However, due to the decline in demand for apocynum leaves after 2008, the area of ​​domestic crops has shrunk
.
From the historical price, it can be reflected that the change of the output of this variety is obviously affected by the price fluctuation. .
In 2016, affected by the social inventory of apocynum leaves, the market and pharmaceutical factories still have old goods to be consumed
.
In 2018, with the continuous rise of the tea industry, the demand for apocynum leaves continued to increase, and the market did not drop but rose after the new production that year
.
The transaction price of the stick-made products from the origin is 18 yuan, and the price of hand-picked products is 32 yuan
.
In 2019, stimulated by high prices, the production of apocynum leaves increased, and the market continued to be sluggish in 2020 due to the impact of the epidemic
.
Until 2021, due to weather and other factors, the production of apocynum leaves will decrease, and the market will start to rise again
.
3.
Wide distribution of resources In China, Apocynum leaves are distributed in Xinjiang, Qinghai, Gansu, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Henan, Hebei, Jiangsu, Shandong, Liaoning and Inner Mongolia
.
Mainly wild in the saline-alkali wasteland and the edge of the desert and on both sides of the river, alluvial plain, around the river and the Gobi desert
.
Although it is widely distributed, the areas with harvest habits are mainly concentrated in Hebei and Xinjiang, and the Anguo market is the main distribution center
.
Around 2010, the production of Jinghai County, Tianjin, the main producing area of ​​Apocynum, also shrank in recent years due to disorderly mining
.
The epidemic in 2020 caused a large number of rural laborers to be idle at home, willing to pick apocynum leaves to subsidize their households, resulting in a large output that year
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform for the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the output of apocynum leaves in 2020 will be 2,944 tons
.
4.
Apocynum leaves are used as medicinal and edible varieties.
Dry leaves are used as medicine.
The nature is sweet, bitter, and cool.
It belongs to the liver meridian.
Equivalent
.
In recent years, it has been reported in the literature that apocynum has a significant effect in the treatment of hypertension, chronic congestive heart failure, hyperlipidemia, etc.
, and has anti-allergic, anti-cancer, anti-radiation, anti-aging and other health care functions. .
Apocynum leaf is a weak alkaline tea, which can balance the pH of the human body and supplement the trace elements such as calcium and magnesium
.
Its leaves contain apocynum glycosides, which have a cardiac effect, and are made into apocynum tea, apocynum tablets and apocynum cigarettes, which can treat hypertension and so on
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the consumption of apocynum leaves in 2020 is 2,885 tons
.
V.
Forecast of the market outlook 1.
Low price of apocynum leaves and few harvesters The shortage of labor force in Xinjiang and other places, coupled with the increase of various labor costs, led to few harvesters
.
The new receipt price of Hebei-produced real estate is too low.
In addition, the leaves are lightly blistered, the packaging is troublesome, and the storage capacity is large, and the production area is prone to abandonment
.
2.
The weather in the production area is not good.
The Hebei-produced real estate encountered heavy rain in the new period, so that the mature apocynum leaves could not be harvested in time, and they turned yellow or fell over time, which had a great impact on the yield
.
In the Lop Nur area of ​​Xinjiang, another production area, due to long-term drought and little rainfall, the growth of Apocynum was not good, which affected the development of Apocynum leaves and resulted in poor harvest
.
To sum up, the new production of apocynum leaves in 2021 has ended, and there will be no new products hitting the market by July this year.
Although the market has risen, with the continuous digestion of inventory, the tension of supply will become more prominent in the later period.
There is still the possibility of continuing higher
.