Will pork prices fall? It's hard to make a big difference in the short term - there are many factors.

Since the outbreak of swine fever in Africa, China's pig and pork in the state of supply shortage, pork prices have been high.
, pork prices have been rising since the second half of last year, and now the retail price of pork is generally above 30 yuan per kilogram.
reporter survey found that pork shortage and sales reduction of these two phenomena exist at the same time, industry analysis, due to rising farming costs, farmers reduce and other reasons, pork prices in the short term will not change much.
retail market: most merchants reduce the purchase of goods in the morning of August 20, reporters interviewed a number of supermarkets and cold meat shops, found that the average price of cold meat in more than 30 yuan / catty.
To Hejiafu supermarket (Lijingyuan shop) as an example, the supermarket's plum meat price of 36.9 yuan / catty, hind leg meat price of 31.9 yuan / catty, Dali Ridge price of 34.9 yuan / catty; Hair supermarket, golden gong preferably with the price of 38.9 yuan / catty, gold gong preferably with the price of 34.1 yuan / catty, gold gong preferably the third natural block price of 45.9 yuan / catty.
Zibo Hejiafu supermarket (Lijingyuan shop) staff told reporters that pork prices began to rise after the Spring Festival because of the reduced supply of pig farms and wholesale markets.
, however, pork prices have levelled off in recent times.
sales at major supermarkets and cold meat shops have declined as pork prices continue to rise.
" there are significantly fewer customers buying pork, more beef, chicken and fish, and some opting for relatively cheap frozen meat.
", said the staff of the Hejiafu supermarket.
in Darunfa supermarket, in the face of high pork prices, a customer chose relatively cheap chicken, but some customers choose to buy cold meat.
staff said pork prices rose and pork sales were not ideal.
on the one hand sales fell, on the other hand pork is facing out of stock.
6 p.m. on August 20, reporters at a cold meat store in the Wuliqiao community of Zhangdian saw a member of the public buy the last piece of pork.
the freezer where the pork was originally stored, and put on meats such as chicken.
"pork is sold out, you see chicken legs are also good.
" boss greeted reporters, his daily turnover of more than 2000 yuan, pork prices on average more than 30 yuan per kilogram.
recent days, some pork varieties have been out of stock.
" meat is distributed by manufacturers, not how much you want to give how much, handed over money, goods are not complete.
" pork prices, and some restaurants have not raised the price of pork dishes.
reporters in a restaurant saw that the price of pork dishes did not rise.
, for example, sugar and vinegar ridge for 40 yuan / serving, fried ridge for 28 yuan / serving, fried meat slices for 28 yuan / serving.
told reporters: "The price of pork dishes in our shop has not increased, pork dishes sales have been very good."
, the head of a fast-food chain, said that after the rise in pork prices, there was little profit on meat and meatballs, and profits on pork dishes were affected.
"due to a shortage of pork supply, meatballs are limited supply."
" the person in charge told reporters, a piece of meat about 2 two weights, meat price of 30 yuan a jin, the cost of 6 yuan, calculated no profit.
" other dishes did not rise in price, in order to reduce costs, some dishes with chicken instead of pork.
" pork prices going? Industry analysis in the short term more stable this year, pork prices showed a "V" word trend, the lowest price in May per catty only 20 yuan, at that time, pig out of the column price of 13 yuan / catty.
analysis at the time showed that "by the slow recovery of pork consumption, the number of pigs out of the column, as well as the import of frozen meat prices down."
" since the end of May, pork prices have been rising.
, pork prices reached a new high, the province's average pork price of 28.36 yuan / catty.
late July, pork prices rose to 28.61 yuan per kilogram.
analysis by Shandong Provincial Livestock Bureau in early August, the average price of pork in the province was 28.34 yuan per kilogram.
also means that from the beginning of July to date, pork prices have always been maintained at 28 yuan / catty, ribs and other well-known brands of cold meat prices even around 40 yuan / catty.
recently, the increase in pig prices is related to factors such as rising feed costs, slow recovery of breeding sow stocks and low enthusiasm of farmers.
in the town of Gori, Yantai County, the number of pig farmers is relatively concentrated, starting from this year, a large number of farmers.
, the county animal husbandry bureau staff told reporters that the town of Gori farmers from the original 100 households down to about 60 households.
August 21st, Wu Chengn, a farmer in the town of Gori in Yantai County, told reporters that this year farmers have increased the amount of pig storage, but there are fewer pig farmers.
" pork prices are high, but the price of piglets has also increased, " Mr. Wu said. "
" Mr. Wu's pig farm has about 100 columns, pigs from 60 catties long to 120 catties to 120 days, some varieties of pigs to more than 6 months, Mr. Wu's pig farm can produce more than 100 pigs a year, according to the current price can sell to 3800 yuan / head.
" a piglet has to 2200 yuan, this year's feed price is higher than last winter, a ton of feed can be more than 500 yuan, " Mr. Wu said, a pig six months to eat about 1300 yuan of feed.
pig farms also need to prevent epidemic prevention, utilities, labor costs and other costs.
last year's african swine fever led to an increase in pig mortality and a greater risk of pig farming, which is also a major reason for the decline in farmers this year.
good news is that in July, the country's pig production continued to resume, can breed sows stable increase, pig storage column began to grow year-on-year.
Bojing Cheng Breeding Co., Ltd. is one of the larger pig breeding enterprises in the province.
according to the company's head He Ideal, the company's main business is pig breeding, breeding 1500 sows, the annual number of out of the column can reach 30,000 pigs.
the price of a sow this year is several times higher than it was two years ago, with a sow priced at more than 5,000 yuan.
on the future direction of commodity pig prices, he said: "Because African swine fever is not yet a vaccine, until the vaccine comes out, the market price volatility will not be too big."
"