Will avian influenza bring a devastating blow to poultry industry in China?

Introduction: first Recently, there has been an outbreak of avian influenza in Guangxi In order to prevent the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza and other serious animal epidemics, and effectively protect people's health and the safety of animal husbandry production in China, the Ministry of Commerce, together with the Ministry of agriculture, the General Administration of customs and the General Administration of quality supervision, inspection and Quarantine of the people's Republic of China, issued a notice on January 28, deciding to suspend the export of birds and their products from the epidemic areas in Guangxi, Hunan and Hubei provinces from January 28 Products Local competent commercial departments shall suspend the issuance of automatic import licenses for imported broiler products from the above-mentioned countries; suspend the issuance of export licenses for live chicken and chicken products from the counties where the epidemic areas are located in Guangxi, Hunan and Hubei provinces GzV not only affects the export of poultry meat in China to some extent, but also affects the enthusiasm of breeders and the purchase desire of consumers About 62.4% of 10506 participants said they would not eat chicken in the near future, according to an online survey In the short term, the sharp decline of demand will undoubtedly give a heavy blow to the poultry industry in China However, according to the analysis of industry insiders, the "how much shock the avian influenza epidemic will bring to our poultry industry" depends on the development of the situation GzV If the avian influenza epidemic continues to spread, and the route of transmission of avian influenza changes in any way, from poultry to people, its harm will exceed SARS, it is possible to force relevant parties to take important measures to restrict population flow, implement regional trade locks and other measures, which may cause poultry in poultry production areas to be isolated and killed, and healthy chickens cannot be sold To go, poultry products can not be digested, thus causing significant losses to poultry production areas Tourism and related industries will also be greatly affected However, as long as the spread of avian influenza is still controlled in the current route of transmission, and will not spread among people, it is possible for us to control avian influenza in a short period of time and minimize the losses caused by it From a historical point of view, avian influenza is not a new disease In recent years, it occurs frequently all over the world The outbreak of avian influenza in Guangxi will probably frustrate the domestic demand for poultry meat in a short period of time However, due to the short feeding cycle of poultry, poultry production can recover in a short period of time GzV therefore, the industry analysts believe that the depth of the impact of the bird flu epidemic on poultry production in China depends on the development of the situation, but it is less likely to cause a devastating impact GzV