Wild mutant species and then let go of the expansion? Look at The White And!

Since 2010, the domestication of wild Chinese medicinal materials has become a hot spot
in the industry.
In recent years, some wild varieties have been successfully domesticated, solving the problem
of accelerating the depletion of raw material resources of corresponding Chinese medicinal materials and unable to achieve sustainable utilization.
But at the same time, we must also see that the blind promotion of some wild mutant medicinal materials and the disorderly expansion of production have also brought great losses to investors and production areas, and Bai ji is one of the representative varieties
.
01, white and prices due to blind expansion ushered in a cliff diving Figure 1: 1990.
01-2022.
09 white and market price changes From the perspective of price changes, the downturn after high prices is still continuing
.
From 1990 to 2022, the white market was divided into three important stages: the first stage (1990-2009): the rapid growth of white and demand, driving the market to continue to rise, the price rose from 2.
8 yuan (kilogram price, the same below) in 1990 to 75 yuan in 2009, up 25.
79 times, compound growth rate of 17.
87%.

During this period, due to the expansion of social use, the demand for wild white and social use increased significantly, resulting in an increase in resource consumption and a steady increase
in the market.
The second stage (2010-2016): white and resource shortage, supply and demand contradictions highlighted, the price rose from 78 yuan in 2010 to 900 yuan in 2016, an increase of 10.
54 times, compound growth rate of 41.
82%.

Due to the serious phenomenon of indiscriminate mining and digging in various production areas, the reserves of wild resources have dropped sharply, and the white and markets have continued to create new highs
.
At the same time, the high economic benefits of white and white have become the strongest driving force for the rapid domestication of wild products, and the participating groups continue to grow, 20%-25% of wild white and raw materials are used for domestic domestication, and only 75%-80% of wild white and raw materials are used for circulation, resulting in unprecedented social
demand.
The third stage (2017-2022): the surge in white and production capacity is obvious, and the market is falling
off a cliff.
In 2017, with the first batch of white seeds and listings, the supply tension was greatly alleviated
.
The price of white and white fell from 800 yuan in 2017 to 95 yuan in 2022, a decline of 88.
13%.

02, high prices stimulate the rapid development of production bases Figure 2: 1987-2022 White and production bases and cooperatives the number of growth From the perspective of base construction, after 2010, white and production bases and cooperatives ushered in a period of
rapid development.
From 1990 to 2009, there were 108 white and cooperative bases, of which 36 were added in 2007, the largest number of growth years
in this period.
From 2010 to 2022, there were 1,105 white and cooperative bases and cooperatives, an increase of 174 in 2017, the largest number of growth years
in this period.
After 2010, the number of white and cooperative production bases and cooperatives increased by 9.
23 times compared with before 2010
.
Through the analysis in Figures 1 and 2, it can be seen that there is a clear positive correlation
between the growth of the number of white and production bases and cooperatives and the change of white and prices.
Figure 3: Distribution of white and production bases and cooperatives from 1990 to 2022 From the perspective of base distribution, white and production bases and cooperatives are mainly concentrated in southwest China, central China and north China
.
China's white and resources are mainly distributed in the provinces of the Yangtze River Basin, such as Yunnan, Guizhou, Sichuan, Chongqing, Guangxi, Hunan, Jiangxi, Shaanxi, Hubei and so on
.
After 2010, the cultivation and production of white and began to extend to Shandong, Henan, Zhejiang, Anhui and other provinces
.
At the same time, stimulated by high economic benefits, large-scale planting began in various places, and there was a rare national planting situation
.
Figure 4: Growth of white and production bases and cooperatives in 2010-2015 and 2016-2022 From the perspective of provincial growth, the rapid increase of white and production bases and cooperatives is concentrated in the southwest, central China and north China
.
From 2010 to 2022, there were 1105 white and production bases and cooperatives in China, and Yunnan, Inner Mongolia and Guizhou ranked in the top three with the number of 360, 226 and 103 respectively, accounting for 62.
35% of the
total.
After 2016, the number of baihe production bases and cooperatives increased by 507, and Yunnan, Inner Mongolia and Guizhou increased by 162, 88 and 69 respectively, accounting for 62.
92%
of the total.
The nationwide cultivation of Baihe and the rapid growth of production bases and cooperatives are the direct causes
of the serious overcapacity of Baihe after 2017.
Figure 5: Net income from white and mu in 2018-2022 From the perspective of net income per mu, planting income has declined rapidly and continues to hover
at a low level.
Net income from white and mu yield fell from 15,2350 yuan in 2018 to 3,700 yuan at the lowest in 2021, a decrease of 97.
57%.

As market prices continue to fall and production costs increase year by year, the net income of white and mu production is becoming more and more meager
.
From 2020 to 2022, the net income of white and mu production hovered below 10,000 yuan, and for a variety of Chinese herbal medicines that needed to be planted for 2-3 years, the income level had fallen below the expectations
of growers.
04, wild domestication work to speed up, high-priced varieties are the first choice Figure 6: Chinese herbal medicine source class index: wild 99 (source: Chinese herbal medicine tiandi network) From the wild 99 index, the wild category market continues to rise, stimulating the rapid development
of wild domestication work.
The Wild 99 index increased from a low of 1448.
55 points in 2010 to a high of 3682.
35 points in 2022, an increase of 154.
21%, with a compound growth rate of 4.
14%.

During this period, varieties such as Chonglou, Huangjing, Cangshu, Red Peony, and Guangdou Root attracted many investors and producing areas to join the work of wild mutants, which largely compensated for the difficulty
of sustaining the wild resources of the above varieties.
Figure 7: 1990.
01-2022.
09 Price chart of Chinese medicinal materials of red peony Jing red peony: annual demand is about
3000 tons.
The country is mainly distributed in Inner Mongolia, Liaoning, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Hebei, Shanxi and other provinces
.
Due to the sharp decline in the reserves of the main production areas, the market situation continued to rise
.
In recent years, various production areas have begun to actively participate in wild domestication work, mainly using wild rhizomes for transplanting or imitation wild planting, but due to the low production capacity, the family species that meet the pharmacopoeia content standards are few, and they cannot meet the market demand, and are still mainly based on the supply of
wild goods.
However, due to the increasing number of people involved in domestication, after the improvement of technology, the production capacity will gradually increase, and it is necessary to pay close attention to the development of Jingchi peony in the
future.
Figure 8: 1990.
01-2022.
09 Price of Chinese medicinal materials in the heavy building Heavy building: The annual demand is about
2500 tons.
It is mainly distributed in Yunnan, Sichuan, Guizhou, Shaanxi, Hunan, Guangxi, Hubei and other southwestern regions; Foreign countries are distributed in Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos and other Southeast Asian countries
.
After 2010, with Yunnan as the center, heavy building planting rapidly expanded to Guizhou, Sichuan, Chongqing and other provinces, and then quickly expanded to Fujian, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Hunan, Hubei and other provinces, and finally extended to most provinces
in the country.
Due to the planting area of tens of thousands of acres, the huge production capacity has led to a cliff-like dive in the heavy building market and continues to fall
.
05.
Establish an information monitoring and early warning and production and marketing docking platform to accurately guide production Through the analysis of Baihe, Red Peony and Chonglou, as well as the lessons learned in the process of wild varieties such as Marga, Black Wolfberry, Dendrobium and Mountain Bean Root, my platform summarizes several rules of wild domestication of
Chinese medicinal materials 。 1, raw material prices are the fundamental factors for the development of production When wild resources are unsustainable or policy factors lead to the improvement of medicinal standards, the price of related wild medicinal materials rises rapidly and reaches a certain threshold (price node), which will inevitably stimulate capital and production areas to turn to wild domestication, so as to achieve large-scale production, reduce prices and greatly alleviate the problem
of insufficient supply.
Therefore, the domestication of wild medicinal materials is the only way to
ensure the sustainable supply of raw materials for Chinese medicinal materials.
2, blind expansion will inevitably lead to a large price When a domestication technology matures, seed seedling merchants, some experts, scientific research institutions and production bases in order to achieve the return on investment, through one-sided exaggeration of the prospects and market space of the variety, increase efforts to promote the expansion of production areas and production capacity, in order to promote seed seedlings, production technology and supporting equipment, thus bringing about the blind expansion of the production of domesticated medicinal materials, the emergence of medicine to hurt farmers, laying the groundwork
for the next round of price increases 。 3, market demand eventually promotes production and price to achieve a dynamic balance After one or several rounds of price rises and falls, the production scale and price of medicinal materials will eventually achieve a certain dynamic balance
.
The fundamental driving force to achieve this balance comes from market demand, why do maca and black goji berries disappear? Because market demand has shrunk significantly; Why are wild mutant medicinal herbs such as Tian/Hemp, Magnolia and Eucommia basically stable in recent years, because production matches demand; Why are the prices of white and heavy buildings, dendrobium and red peony still up and down, because their market shock cycle has not yet ended
.
Therefore, through accurate information monitoring and early warning, the rapid feedback of market demand to the production end has become the key to stabilizing the production and supply of wild domesticated medicinal materialsMeans
.
This kind of information navigation, not only has a price warning, but also should have a one-stop docking between the production and marketing sides, so as to avoid blind production, malicious misleading, and artificially lengthen the price shock cycle
.
01 white and price due to blind expansion ushered in a cliff-like diving 02 high prices to stimulate the rapid development of production bases 03 The rapid construction of production bases has not brought sustained high-efficiency medicinal materials 04 standard 05, the establishment of information monitoring and early warning and production and marketing docking platform, accurate guidance of the production of Chinese herbal medicines