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In recent days, the fertilizer market is like the weather in the whole country.
The sudden cold air and heavy snowfall across the country delayed the pace of early spring again.
In the fertilizer market, the price of most fertilizers suddenly stopped rising, and prices began to decline in the opposite direction.
, The specific market conditions are as follows: Urea: The current mainstream ex-factory price of urea in Shandong has dropped to about 1,610 yuan/ton, which is 1,730 yuan/ton lower than the highest quotation in the previous period, and 120 yuan/ton, and market rumors say that the local transaction price is only 1,590 yuan/ton.
Yuan/ton, the overall market demand is poor, the arrival of low-priced goods is increasing, and the wholesale link in individual markets is severely upside down.
The quotations of Shandong Lianghe and other places have fallen sharply and there is still a risk of continuing to fall.
It is expected that the country will continue to decline in the short term Urea quotations in some areas will continue to fall, and only the areas where the partial snowfall has passed may temporarily weaken the quotations and stabilize due to agricultural demand.
Monoammonium: Increased supply and deepened market fatigue.
Although the environmental protection investigation team once again settled around Beijing, it did not have much impact on the operating rate of the main production area of monoammonium in the southwest and Hubei.
The operating rate of monoammonium has gradually increased, but the downstream market demand support is relatively low.
There are few transactions, and most companies have fewer pending orders.
In order to attract new orders, prices are gradually suppressed.
It is said that 55% of powdered monoammonium has low-end transactions of about 1800 yuan/ton, and the number of transactions is relatively large.
It is expected that the price will fall again in the future.
Potassium chloride: demand release is slow, supply is sufficient, and cost support is lacking.
However, the overall international trend is slightly rising, and the supply is concentrated in large upstream companies.
Therefore, it is expected that the price of potassium chloride will continue to fall but is slow.
Currently, border trade is 62%.
The mainstream price of white powder and white crystal is 1850-1900 yuan/ton, and the transaction refers to **** yuan/ton (If there is any part of the analysis and market data of this website that you want to know more, please call the consultation hotline 0451-88001128.
Want to know For more diammonium market information, please continue to pay attention to the official website of China Fertility Network ( or mobile APP ( cn/app) and the WeChat public platform ferinfo.
).
Compound fertilizer: The demand is not strong, and the factory ships a small amount.
In addition, the price volatility of raw materials is more serious, the downstream market has lower expectations for the late price of compound fertilizer, and the factory has to cut prices for sales due to capital turnover.
However, diammonium has become a special case of the current fertilizer.
Not only does the quotation show no downward trend, but also individual factories have raised their quotations recently.
Now the 64% high-end quotation of diammonium in Heilongjiang has reached 2850 yuan/ton.
This is the main reason.
There are the following aspects: First of all, there is still a certain gap in demand.
Although the prices of agricultural and sideline products have been reduced, traders have been cautious in purchasing, so far the arrival of diammonium is still relatively small.
Recently, the number of inquiries in the market has been significantly higher than that in the previous period.
Increased, and there will still be a certain demand in the later period; secondly, the company has been restricting production for a long time, and the domestic supply is tight.
Since December last year, large factories have been strictly controlling production.
Until now, most factories have more This point can also be indirectly fed back from the export aspect.
According to port data, the physical export volume of diammonium in January this year was about 150,000 tons, and this year’s export tariff has dropped to zero.
For example, there is a large backlog of diammonium in the country.
It’s impossible under the circumstance that the international market has performed well.
It is reported that the high-end FOB price of 64% diammonium bulk orders has gradually approached US$380/ton recently.
In addition, the large demand in the international market has not yet started.
It is expected that the international market will be within one month The price of diammonium still has a certain upward trend.
To sum up, the diammonium market has finally experienced a severe cold in the market and turned into a warm spring.
Supported by the above-mentioned benefits, there is no need to reduce the price of domestic diammonium, but at the same time, it is restricted by the downstream market and the current transaction price has not reached the factory quotation.
Even if the price of diammonium is raised in the later period, there is no practical guiding significance.
It is expected that as the market advances, the transaction price of diammonium may slowly increase in the later period, but it is difficult to have a large increase.
The sudden cold air and heavy snowfall across the country delayed the pace of early spring again.
In the fertilizer market, the price of most fertilizers suddenly stopped rising, and prices began to decline in the opposite direction.
, The specific market conditions are as follows: Urea: The current mainstream ex-factory price of urea in Shandong has dropped to about 1,610 yuan/ton, which is 1,730 yuan/ton lower than the highest quotation in the previous period, and 120 yuan/ton, and market rumors say that the local transaction price is only 1,590 yuan/ton.
Yuan/ton, the overall market demand is poor, the arrival of low-priced goods is increasing, and the wholesale link in individual markets is severely upside down.
The quotations of Shandong Lianghe and other places have fallen sharply and there is still a risk of continuing to fall.
It is expected that the country will continue to decline in the short term Urea quotations in some areas will continue to fall, and only the areas where the partial snowfall has passed may temporarily weaken the quotations and stabilize due to agricultural demand.
Monoammonium: Increased supply and deepened market fatigue.
Although the environmental protection investigation team once again settled around Beijing, it did not have much impact on the operating rate of the main production area of monoammonium in the southwest and Hubei.
The operating rate of monoammonium has gradually increased, but the downstream market demand support is relatively low.
There are few transactions, and most companies have fewer pending orders.
In order to attract new orders, prices are gradually suppressed.
It is said that 55% of powdered monoammonium has low-end transactions of about 1800 yuan/ton, and the number of transactions is relatively large.
It is expected that the price will fall again in the future.
Potassium chloride: demand release is slow, supply is sufficient, and cost support is lacking.
However, the overall international trend is slightly rising, and the supply is concentrated in large upstream companies.
Therefore, it is expected that the price of potassium chloride will continue to fall but is slow.
Currently, border trade is 62%.
The mainstream price of white powder and white crystal is 1850-1900 yuan/ton, and the transaction refers to **** yuan/ton (If there is any part of the analysis and market data of this website that you want to know more, please call the consultation hotline 0451-88001128.
Want to know For more diammonium market information, please continue to pay attention to the official website of China Fertility Network ( or mobile APP ( cn/app) and the WeChat public platform ferinfo.
).
Compound fertilizer: The demand is not strong, and the factory ships a small amount.
In addition, the price volatility of raw materials is more serious, the downstream market has lower expectations for the late price of compound fertilizer, and the factory has to cut prices for sales due to capital turnover.
However, diammonium has become a special case of the current fertilizer.
Not only does the quotation show no downward trend, but also individual factories have raised their quotations recently.
Now the 64% high-end quotation of diammonium in Heilongjiang has reached 2850 yuan/ton.
This is the main reason.
There are the following aspects: First of all, there is still a certain gap in demand.
Although the prices of agricultural and sideline products have been reduced, traders have been cautious in purchasing, so far the arrival of diammonium is still relatively small.
Recently, the number of inquiries in the market has been significantly higher than that in the previous period.
Increased, and there will still be a certain demand in the later period; secondly, the company has been restricting production for a long time, and the domestic supply is tight.
Since December last year, large factories have been strictly controlling production.
Until now, most factories have more This point can also be indirectly fed back from the export aspect.
According to port data, the physical export volume of diammonium in January this year was about 150,000 tons, and this year’s export tariff has dropped to zero.
For example, there is a large backlog of diammonium in the country.
It’s impossible under the circumstance that the international market has performed well.
It is reported that the high-end FOB price of 64% diammonium bulk orders has gradually approached US$380/ton recently.
In addition, the large demand in the international market has not yet started.
It is expected that the international market will be within one month The price of diammonium still has a certain upward trend.
To sum up, the diammonium market has finally experienced a severe cold in the market and turned into a warm spring.
Supported by the above-mentioned benefits, there is no need to reduce the price of domestic diammonium, but at the same time, it is restricted by the downstream market and the current transaction price has not reached the factory quotation.
Even if the price of diammonium is raised in the later period, there is no practical guiding significance.
It is expected that as the market advances, the transaction price of diammonium may slowly increase in the later period, but it is difficult to have a large increase.
