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Kudzu, a small variety in the medicinal materials market, has been running sluggishly in recent years, with the consumption of inventory, when will kudzu usher in a new high price period?
In this issue, the big data platform of Tiandi Cloud Atlas Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry analyzes the market of this variety based on production and marketing data
.
First, the movement of the kudzu flower market and production area
Bozhou market: Due to the small demand for kudzu flowers in recent years, the usual merchants purchase volume is small, affected by this, the market of this variety continues to be sluggish, the current market large flowers asking price is 14-15 yuan (kilogram price, the same below), small flowers shouting price in 16-18 yuan
.
The market has sufficient inventory, and it is difficult to improve the market in the short term
.
Anguo market: Kudzu, there are not many merchants looking for goods recently, the source of goods is sold smoothly, the market is running smoothly, the price of Kudzu small flowers in the current market is 18 yuan, the price of large flowers is 14 yuan, and it is expected that there will be no major changes
in the market in the short term.
Yulin market: the market sales volume of kudzu is small, most of the business merchants are only incidental operation, coupled with the enthusiasm of merchants to buy is not high, the source of goods in recent times rarely moved in batches, the market continues to be sluggish, and the spot price is around 14 yuan
.
Guangxi Guilin kudzu business introduced that the price of this variety is not high, this year's output is limited, but the demand has been insufficient, there are not many merchants who come to the origin to purchase the source of goods, the price has been low running, the origin of the unified goods market between 12-13 yuan, the short-term benefit is not much
.
Second, the high level fell back, and the price was sluggish
Chart: Market price trend of Kudzu from 2017 to 2022 (RMB/kg)
In the past 20 years, Kudzu has experienced 2 high prices:
The first time was in 2008, when the price reached 80 yuan
at its peak.
Until 2006, the variety hovered below 10 yuan, and in 2006, as demand increased, the price rose to about
14 yuan.
However, this price still failed to stimulate the enthusiasm of the production area, so after the new production began in 2007, the price gradually increased, until it reached a historical high of more than 70 yuan in 2008
.
Later, due to the high price to stimulate the harvest, the market fell to around
7 yuan after the new production that year.
The second time was in 2017, when the price reached 60 yuan
at its peak.
As the long-term market remained fluctuating around 10 yuan, with weak inventory, farmers' harvest declined, and merchants actively purchased, in April 2017, the kudzu market reached a high of
60 yuan.
The high price once again stimulated the harvest, and the market fell to around 40 yuan after the new production that year
.
After that, the market has been declining, and the price has fallen to around 14 yuan in 2022
.
Third, wild resources are the mainstay, and the output is not large
Kudzu belongs to three small varieties, mainly distributed in Guangxi, Hunan, Henan, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Sichuan, Anhui and other places
.
At present, the production areas with harvesting habits are mainly concentrated in Pingnan, Guilin and Wuzhou in Guangxi and in the areas of northern Guangdong and southern Hunan in Hunan
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of Tiandi Yuntu traditional Chinese medicine industry, the output of Gehua in 2020 was about 775 tons, and the output in 2021 was about
815 tons.
Fourth, the use of medicine and food has increased
In addition to being used in medicine, kudzu has always been the first medicine for hangover and liver protection, and there are no other varieties of this effect to replace, and there are dozens of
existing medicines and health products produced with kudzu as the main raw material.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of Tiandi Cloud Map Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry, the consumption of kudzu in 2020 was about 753 tons, and the dosage in 2021 was about
786 tons.
5.
Prediction of the future market
1.
Kudzu harvesting time is short Kudzu flowers are mainly supplied to the market with wild resources, and although they are widely distributed, they have not formed harvesting habits
in many production areas.
And the kudzu blossom flowering period is short, it is concentrated to produce new, so once the harvest period has passed, no matter how high the price is, it will not be able to receive the goods
.
According to the price of 12 yuan for the unified goods of the production area, 10 kilograms of fresh goods are folded and dried one kilogram of dried flowers, and farmers harvest 20 kilograms of flowers a day, and their income is only 20 yuan, and they have no willingness to
harvest.
2.
Large resource reserves Although there are not many production areas with harvesting habits, the resources of kudzu are huge, as long as the market is suitable, farmers can harvest a large amount at the high price of the year, which is the reason
why the high price of kudzu often lasts less than a year and then declines rapidly.
To sum up, the amount of kudzu is small, the high price cycle is short, and the business operators are basically incidental operations, and the market attention is limited
.
However, after 2018, the market of this variety has been hovering around 15 yuan, farmers have limited enthusiasm for harvesting, only relying on consumption inventory to maintain, once the inventory is exhausted, the kudzu market will usher in a new upward cycle
.
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