Wheat prices in China are expected to keep rising this year

Introduction: in recent years, due to the increasing adjustment of agricultural planting structure In recent years, due to the increasing adjustment of agricultural planting structure, China's wheat area has been reduced year by year, and the output has been reduced continuously The contradiction between the supply and demand of wheat has been greatly alleviated From the perspective of supply and demand, wheat may be heating up rapidly, the trade tends to be active, and the price tag slowly goes up 3kk1 As one of the two major varieties of rations, this year's winter wheat area is 3006 million mu, and the output is expected to be 80.6 billion kg In addition to the spring wheat of 5.8 billion kg, the total output is 86.4 billion kg The gap of consumption demand is 27.6 billion kg based on last year's 114 billion kg This is the fourth year to dig up wheat stocks This year's decline in wheat stocks will be mainly reflected in the decrease in the stocks of purchasing and selling enterprises and reserves 3kk2 According to the calculation of some main wheat producing areas, the number of wheat purchases by the purchasing and selling enterprises will be reduced this year, and even the collection of agricultural tax is difficult to be completed 3kk3 In the previous year, a certain amount of reserves will be completed in some of the reserves, and the purchase and sale enterprises will cash in the wheat converted from farmland to forest 3kk4 At present, the amount of grain stored by farmers has declined a lot, and most of the agricultural products can not be sold until the new grain harvest 3kk5, the purchasing and selling enterprises in the production area and the reserve bank, because they are optimistic about the price trend of wheat market in the later stage, actively purchase some of the first two years' wheat before May, and reduce the outbound The delivery price of wheat in some rotation warehouses is also more than 1.02 yuan (the same for kilogram), which is about 0.06 yuan higher than that in the same period last year 3kk6 The price of corn in some main wheat producing areas is close to that of wheat The price comparison is unreasonable, which promotes wheat consumption 3kk7 According to the purchase and sale of 2002 enterprises by Agricultural Development Bank of China, 105.85 billion kg of grain was purchased, 133.989 billion kg of grain was sold, 28.139 billion kg of various grains were saved and reduced, and obvious achievements were made in stock pressing and sales promotion 3kk wheat will be purchased more than sold in several aspects Therefore, for the wheat with good quality last year and 2001, the ex warehouse price of middle-level and above will be increased by 0.02 yuan to 0.04 yuan per kilogram at least on the basis of their respective protection price last year, which makes the wheat price generally rise 3kK
3kK