Transgenic soybean import dark brewing peak

Introduction: on November 11, the Ministry of Agriculture issued a notice (No 190) to issue "interim certificate" to those who pass the safety review, temporarily relaxing the "270 day approval period" of the safety certificate of imported genetically modified agricultural products in the regulations on the safety management of agricultural genetically modified organisms and other relevant regulations According to the latest statistics and analysis of customs, this will lead to the import peak of genetically modified soybeans According to the customs, in the first two months of this year, the import volume of agricultural products at Guangdong port was 370 million US dollars, a slight decrease of 0.8% over the same period last year As for the problem of import of agricultural products not rising but falling after the removal of import quantity restrictions and tariff reduction, relevant customs analysts believe that the import of genetically modified soybeans, which accounts for a large proportion of imports, has dropped by 50.7% compared with the same period last year It is reported that China has always been a big soybean importer, importing more than 10 million tons of soybean and its products in 2001, about US $1 billion Since this year, although soybean import has changed from quota management to single tariff management, according to the regulations on the safety management of agricultural genetically modified organisms issued by the State Council on May 23 last year and other relevant laws and regulations, China has set strict restrictions on the import and domestic sales of genetically modified agricultural products, and put them into practice At the same time, due to the uncertain results of the Sino US trade consultation on genetically modified agricultural products, the above uncertainties increase the import risk Therefore, in the first two months of this year, the domestic demand gap was very large, but only 60000 tons were imported, not increasing, but significantly decreasing Single tariff management favorable for import According to the provisions of the WTO, the government will not be able to restrict the import quantity of agricultural products after China's accession to the WTO Therefore, China has promised to change some important agricultural products, such as wheat, corn, rice, vegetable oil and sugar, from the original implementation of the absolute quota management system to the implementation of the tariff quota management system; for trade sensitive agricultural products, such as soybeans, barley and beef, it will implement the single quota management system 1 A tariff management system, i.e other management methods such as tariff quotas, licenses, import franchises, etc cannot be implemented This has eased import conditions to some extent, however, in general, high tariffs beyond quotas are enough to deter most importers The customs analyzed the imported corn as an example In 2002, China's quota was 5.85 million tons Except for a small amount of corn processed simply, the tax rate of most corn within the quota was 1%, but the additional tax rate was as high as 71% As a result, total imports of such products are not expected to increase much compared with last year Equal trade opportunities stimulate imports However, the customs also analyzed that as long as there is domestic demand, there will be imports The temporary calm of agricultural products import does not mean that the prospect of domestic agricultural products is optimistic On the contrary, with the equalization of trade opportunities of enterprises with different backgrounds in China, the domestic market will still directly stimulate the import of fruits, rice, sugar, soybeans and other agricultural products It is preliminarily predicted that in the next stage, in addition to genetically modified soybeans, most other product imports will also show a surge trend (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: