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the uncertainty facing China's economy in 2018 is unadited. The impact and impact of the Fed's monetary normalization on emerging markets, the escalation of Sino-US trade frictions, the sudden rise of the demon of private economic exit theory, the serious volatility of domestic economic policy, etc., make china's economic uncertainty continue to strengthen, business and investors' confidence in the market weakened.
zZs .In 2018, the feed market has been challenged, the Sino-US trade war has been affecting the trend of feed prices, African swine fever has hit the pig industry hard, and then affected the heat ingestion of the feed market, and the restriction on the use of antibiotics on the breeding side has made the research and development of green non-resistant feed technology a hot spot in feed research. In 2018, the feed market has opportunities and challenges, and development has stalled. Near the Spring Festival, in accordance with the practice, feed market (chinafeedm) reporters on the 2018 feed industry's top ten keywords to do a comb, in order to review the passage of the year, to meet the year.
zZs .1. China-U.S. Trade
ZZsJuly 6, the U.S. on the first list of 818 categories of Chinese goods worth 25% import tariffs, in response, China also imposed a 25% import tariff on U.S. goods of the same size, the Sino-U.S. trade war has begun. China's imports of soybeans from the U.S. have fallen sharply since the U.S.-China start, sending domestic soybean supplies tight. On the one hand, imports of U.S. soybeans would have to bear higher import tariffs, and on the other, imports of soybeans from South America, Argentina and Brazil, would also have to bear the increased cost of their land-seating. This also led to the united States in the united states in the annual production of soybeans in the background, China's feed soybean meal prices do not fall back up. Finally, the increase in the production cost of domestic livestock and poultry breeding feed, because the increase in costs is difficult to pass to the end products, will make the breeding end bear the pressure of profit compression.
zZs .With the u.S.-China trade stop talk, the price of soybean meal in 2018 soared and plummeted, from february 2018 average price of 2,893 yuan / ton to 3450 yuan / ton in April, and then all the way down to June 2850 yuan / ton, Then all the way up 28.1%, in October reached a peak of 3652 yuan / ton, in December, again fell to 2989 yuan / ton, the whole of 2018, soybean meal prices can be described as thrilling, the average price of 3,171 yuan / ton, up 6% yoY.
zZs .2, African swine fever
ZZsAugust 3, 2018, Shenyang, Liaoning Province, China, Shenbei New District, China's first outbreak of African swine fever. Since then, outbreaks have continued in some provinces. Recently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs spokesman Guang Defu recently informed the media that as of January 14, 2019, there have been 24 provinces, there have been outbreaks of domestic pigs and wild boars, a total of 916,000 pigs culled. At present, 77 affected areas in 21 provinces have been lifted in accordance with the regulations. The outbreak is at a point and there is no epidemic spreading.
zZs .In order to strictly prevent the spread of swine fever in Africa, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs issued a notice on September 13, 2018 to suspend the use of feed blood products produced from pig blood as raw materials in pig feed. After the relevant tests and evaluation, the use of high-temperature spray drying process produced pig blood protein powder, even if the test results are positive for African swine fever virus nucleic acid, the risk of transmission of the outbreak is very low. However, in order to strengthen risk control, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs issued a notice No. 91 on December 28, 2018, which introduced strict process control measures for all aspects of pig blood protein powder production.
zZs .The practice of African swine fever prevention and control for many years shows that feeding raw food to pigs is an important way to spread swine fever in Africa. Experts from abroad analyzed 219 outbreaks of swine fever in Africa identified in 2008-2012 and found that 45.6% of the outbreaks were caused by feeding kitchen surpluses. The relevant departments have also detected positive nucleic acid of the African swine fever virus in the kitchen residues of a pig farm in Inner Mongolia feeding pigs. As a result, the Ministry of Agriculture has again issued a notice of a total ban on water pigs. After China's request for a total ban on feeding raw food cooks to pigs in the provinces where the outbreak occurred and the affected provinces, the resulting outbreak has been greatly reduced, which fully illustrates the importance of the comprehensive ban on the feeding of kitchen surplus feeds to pigs.
zZs .The spread of swine fever in Africa has led to a reduction in pig stocks, a reduction in pig grain and a reduction in pig stocks, resulting in a decrease in pig feed production in 2018, while making the overall feed market situation not optimistic.
zZs
3, non-resistant feed
zZsat present, non-resistant feed has become the trend of the development of feed industry. A lot of information indicates that by the end of 2020, all varieties of antimicrobial additives of growth-promoting drugs will be withdrawn, leaving only anti-globulin antibiotics and 2 kinds of veterinary drug additives: bo-fall back and jaundice extract scattered. The promotion of non-resistant feed, all over the action, Guangdong Province Feed Industry Association and Shandong Province Feed Industry Association of the East East Forum concerned about non-resistant feed far? Shandong Province Green Anti-Non-Anti-Union Egg and Poultry Sub-Alliance launched Shandong anti-resistant feed demonstration enterprises and Shandong non-resistant feed products experimental field, so that non-resistant feed ground rooting. "Feed Technology and Applications" magazine hosted by the green anti-resistant feed Qilu line in 2018 into nearly 20 feed production enterprises, understand the feed enterprises on the green anti-resistance road initiatives, understand the green anti-resistance status quo of feed enterprises, for the government and associations to provide detailed data graphic research report.
zZs .At the same time, the research and development of anti-resistant feed technology has also become an important issue in last year's major scientific and technological forums, the reserve research and development of anti-resistant technology is in full swing, functional feed additives and new plant feed additives in the anti-resistance action.
zZs .4. The new regulations
ZZsthe latest revision of the Feed Hygiene Standards of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Areas, which was officially implemented on May 1, 2018. The newly revised Feed Hygiene Standard, the revised total of mold in the pie feed raw materials of the limited value is reduced to 4 x 103 CFU /g, corn erythromyxone in piglets with feed limit value from 0.5 mg/kg to 0.15 mg/kg, in young sows with feed limit value from 0.5 mg/kg down to 0.1 mg/kg. At the same time, based on the consideration of feed safety, the newly revised Feed Hygiene Standard amended the total arsenic limit, removed the original standard for the exception of thepreparation, eliminated the addition and use ofpreparations in the feed, in which the total arsenic limit value of concentrated feed and concentrate supplements was reduced to 4 mg/kg.
zZs .The Safe Use Of Feed Additives Code was officially implemented on July 1, 2018, and the Code requires that the maximum limit of zinc in piglets (?25kg) with feed is 110mg/kg, which is allowed on this basis at a specific stage two weeks after weaning. Zinc oxide or alkali zinc chloride to 1600 mg/kg (in zinc) and should be marked in a prominent position on the label "this product is limited to piglets weaning the first two weeks after use", otherwise they are treated with excessive amounts of additives, can be described as the most stringent "zinc limit order" in history.
zZs .In November 2018, the General Administration of Customs issued Order No. 243 of the General Administration of Customs (Decree on the Publication of the General Administration of Customs Decision on the Amendment of Some Regulations). Among them, in the 30th item, the "Import and Export Feed and Feed Additives Inspection and Quarantine Supervision and Administration Measures" (State General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine Order No. 118 published, according to the State General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine Order No. 184, General Administration of Customs Order No. 238, No. 240 amendments) to make amendments: delete article 16 "feed and feed additives import registration certificate."
zZs .5. In order to promote scientific and technological progress
in the feed industry, reduce the consumption of feed raw material s and reduce the pollution caused by the environment caused by the aquaculture industry, the China Feed Industry Association on November 1, 2018 advocated the implementation of the "piglets, growing fattening pigs with feed" "egg chicken, broiler with feed" 2 group standards. The implementation of group standards has made a significant contribution to the maximization of feed resources in China, the reduction of feed protein content to save feed protein resources and reduce the emission pollution of livestock and poultry.
zZs . In recent years, fermented feed has been widely concerned by feed processing enterprises and aquaculture enterprises, product awareness is gradually increasing, output value is gradually increasing, product forms are becoming more and more diverse, in order to promote the standardization of China's bio-feed industry development, give full play to the role of market subjects to participate in standard-setting, China's bio-feed industry innovation strategy alliance has issued and implemented the "bio-feed product classification" General Principles of Fermentation Feed Technology, Feed Raw Materials Brewing Yeast Cultures, Feed Raw Materials Brewing Yeast Fermented Liquor Bad and Feed Additive Plant Lactobacillus, the last four standards were officially implemented on December 1, 2018, and will play an active role in the development of healthy norms for the fermented feed industry.
zZs . In order to promote the professional division of labor in the egg and chicken industry, to meet the requirements of constantly updating egg-laying cycles, extending the cycle of egg-laying and improving the comprehensive benefits of breeding, promoting the effective use of resources and improving labor efficiency, promoting the process of specialization and standardization of the industry, and promoting the healthy development of the egg and chicken industry, the China Livestock Association issued the "China Egg and Chicken Commodity Breeding Chicken" group standard in November 2018.
zZs . 6. Feeding Plants
ZZs a national standard "General Requirements for Natural Plant Feed Raw Materials" issued on October 10, 2018, from the Ministry of Agriculture's 2008 977 announcement "Single Feed Catalog" to January 2013, the Ministry of Agriculture The implementation of the Feed Raw Materials Catalog, clear 115 kinds of medicinal food contemporaries natural plants used as feed raw materials, and then in December 2013, clear catalog 115 kinds of natural plant slush materials allowed as feed raw materials and now 117 kinds of natural plant feed raw materials.
zZs . The implementation of the General Requirements for Natural Plant Feed Raw Materials clarifies the definition of feed raw materials and feed additives, solves the problem of unclear classification of raw materials for natural plant feed, promotes the return of natural plant feed raw materials to essential properties, harmonizes the evaluation standards and scales of natural plant feed raw materials, standardizes the functional declaration, realizes the effective distinction with Chinese veterinary drug products, provides a guide for enterprises to formulate enterprise standards, and makes natural plant feed more prominent in the anti-resistance.
zZs . 7, pet feed
zZs China's pet market in the international pet market, as a pet essentials, pet feed industry has also ushered in rapid development. Especially in the increasing importance of pet, pet feed industry has become a trend. Since 2010, the sales revenue growth rate of pet feed industry has remained above 20%, and the market size has expanded rapidly. By 2016, sales revenue from the pet feed industry reached 45.695 billion yuan, up 38.74 percent year-on-year, and the production and sales rate was 99.26 percent, indicating that the industry's production and sales were better connected. It is expected that by 2023, the market size of China's pet feed industry will exceed 230 billion yuan.
zZs . On June 1, 2018, the "Pet Feed Management Measures" "Pet Feed Production Enterprise Licensing Conditions" "Pet Feed Labeling Regulations" "Pet Feed Hygiene Regulations" "Pet With Feed Production Permit Declaration Material requirements" "Pet Additive Premixed Feed Production Permit Declaration Material requirements" and other normative documents have been implemented, the pet feed industry has entered and standardized development stage.
zZs . 8, the decentralization of the
zZs in order to deepen the decentralization of the government, the combination of decentralization, optimization of service reform, the establishment of feed production enterprises more and more simplified. On February 11, 2018, the Shanghai Municipal People's Government piloted the reform of feed additives, additives premixed feed production enterprises set up approval, feed additives, additives pre-mixed feed production enterprises set up approval commitments.
zZs . Other provinces have also carried out various degrees of reform of access to feed enterprises. Take Shandong as an example, in July 2018, Shandong Provincial Bureau of Livestock and Veterinary Medicine, which is closely related to feed enterprises related to the establishment of a feed additive production enterprise license, feed additive production enterprises renewal license 37 items of processing links and processes, application materials and quantity, commitment to complete the time limit, processing costs, etc. have been expressed. In September, Shandong Provincial Livestock and Veterinary Bureau issued a letter to Jinan, Qingdao, Yantai 3 city feed and feed additive production enterprises provincial administrative license changed to Jinan City, Qingdao City, Yantai City animal husbandry and veterinary departments. Correspondingly, the government has standardized the supervision after the event, Shandong Provincial Livestock and Veterinary Bureau for the innovative supervision model, improve the effectiveness and accuracy of the supervision and enforcement of feed veterinary drug production enterprises, the implementation of Shandong Province feed veterinary drug production enterprises graded management methods, more accurate and effective and fair implementation of enterprise supervision.
zZs . 9, capital travel
ZZs 2018, the industry as a whole is not optimistic, the first half of pig loss is serious, the second half of the year by the African swine plague, many listed enterprises in trouble. State-owned enterprises have invested in agricultural and animal husbandry giants, including the Great North Farmers, Tianbang, Tang people and so on. Zhejiang Agricultural Development Group Co., Ltd., a state-owned enterprise, will acquire 10% of Tianbang shares for 696 million yuan;
zZs . Pig-breeding losses to enterprises.