The situation of rice market price "strong in the north and weak in the South" is becoming clear

Introduction: this week (March 26 April 1), the domestic rice market generally presents the characteristics of relatively strong supply, relatively weak demand and purchase, and the market transaction is relatively flat, showing a long empty stalemate Market prices began to show a weak trend, especially in the southern market, rice prices tended to fall steadily At present, the rural area is in the period of spring ploughing and sowing The processing and sale of rice by farmers themselves has declined, the sale of raw grain is less, and the market acquisition is also relatively light A week news review: Guangdong Province announced the minimum purchase price of early indica rice this year: 70 yuan per 50 kg to protect the interests of grain farmers and promote food production Recently, relevant departments of Guangdong Province jointly issued the minimum purchase price of early indica rice standard this year: 70 yuan per 50 kg When the market price of early indica rice is higher than 70 yuan per 50 kg, the qualified grain management enterprises shall purchase at the actual market price; when the market price of early indica rice is lower than 70 yuan per 50 kg, the wholly state-owned or state-owned controlled grain enterprises designated by the grain administrative departments of all localities in conjunction with the financial departments shall purchase at the lowest purchase price Beijing entrusts Jilin Province to purchase and store 50000 tons of rice on behalf of others Recently, relevant leaders of Beijing Grain Bureau, Beijing Finance Bureau and agricultural development bank went to Jilin Province to carry out the work of purchasing and storing rice on behalf of others Beijing Grain Bureau and Jilin Grain Bureau signed the agreement on cooperation in grain production and marketing, establishing a long-term and stable cooperative relationship between the two provinces Beijing Nanjiao grain depot and Jilin Province Grain Reserve Management Co., Ltd signed the "purchase and sale contract on purchasing 50000 tons of rice" At present, the 50000 tons of rice are stored by five good storage sites in Jilin Province, and managed by Jilin grain storage management corporation Fuzhou will hold the second municipal special reserve grain rotation auction in 2005 approved by the people's Government of Fuzhou, entrusted by Fuzhou grain purchase and sale Co., Ltd., and will hold the "Fuzhou municipal special reserve grain rotation auction (the second auction in 2005)" at 9:00 a.m on April 8, 2005 in the trading Hall of Fuzhou grain wholesale trading market Subject matter: the annual output of wheat is 10107 tons in 2002, zaogu 7636.581 tons in 2002 and zaogu 5161.018 tons in 2003 The price bureau of Jiangsu Province has recently issued a circular stipulating that the sales base price of conventional japonica rice seeds is 3 yuan (kilogram price, the same below), the retail price is 3.4 yuan, and the fluctuation range shall not exceed 15% The benchmark selling price of hybrid indica rice seed is: the wholesale price of the hybrid combination of Teyou series and Ⅱ excellent series is 12 yuan, and the retail price is 14 yuan; the wholesale price of the hybrid combination of Shanyou series and Xieyou series is 13 yuan, and the retail price is 15 yuan; the wholesale price of the hybrid combination of the two excellent series is 18 yuan, and the retail price is 22 yuan, and the fluctuation range shall not exceed 10% At the same time, the circular stipulates that the price of new varieties approved by the state and the provincial level shall not exceed 3 times of the sales price of common varieties of the same kind of crops within the three-year trial sale period from the date of approval, and shall be reported to the provincial Price Bureau for the record China will rely on stock digging to meet rice demand According to a report published on its website by the Ministry of agriculture, China's rice supply is expected to increase by 9.3% in 2004 / 05, while demand is expected to decrease by 1.2% However, the sum of rice production and import is estimated to be unable to meet the demand, so it is necessary to dig inventory to meet the demand Market analysis forecast: In recent years, the pattern of "strong north and weak south" in the domestic rice market has gradually formed The trend of the domestic rice market shows the phenomenon of "strong north and weak south" The rice prices in the North-South production and marketing areas show different performances, specifically as follows: the supply and demand in the northeast rice market is slightly tight, while the rice prices are stable, rising and falling, and maintaining a high level; the rice market demand in the south is relatively stable, and the prices are fluctuating The dynamic range is 20-40 yuan / ton In recent years, the supply of rice market in Northeast China is still relatively tight, especially in Jilin and Liaoning provinces In the early stage, some grain depots delayed to be purchased due to restructuring have been opened to purchase along with the acceleration of grain reform in the near future, and the continuous rise of rice in the early stage has also brought favorable effects to other purchasers They have increased their purchasing efforts to seize the source of goods, and the market competition is more fierce The price of rice has been supported by power and kept at a high level In addition, the recent state reserve auction activities have a relatively small impact on the northeast rice market Although rice prices in some regions have stopped rising and stabilized, there is still no sign of falling back In the near future, the rice market demand in the southern sales area is relatively stable, and the centralized purchase and replenishment of the rice processing plant has come to an end, and the storage cost of the grain depot will increase after the weather turns warm At the same time, the agricultural development bank loan will also be repaid, and some grain depots will sell the rice, so as to suppress the price of the rice, and promote the price of the rice in some areas to drop slightly Looking forward to the future market, the domestic rice market has been rising for a long time, and the space for further growth in the later period is very limited However, the domestic rice demand gap is still large this year, and supported by national macro-control policies and favorable international situation Even if it is in the seasonal off-season, its price is difficult to fall significantly, and the situation of "strong in the north and weak in the South" will tend to be more in the later period It is clear that in the short term, the domestic rice market price will be mainly stable, supplemented by small fluctuations.