The rise of grain price is not due to the shortage of total grain

Introduction: Xinhua news, Nov 7 - authoritative experts on China's agricultural problems said Xinhua news, Nov 7 - authoritative experts on China's agricultural problems said that China's recent rise in food prices is not due to the shortage of food He Kaiyin, an expert who has been active in Tiantou and Diwei for a long time and a counselor of Anhui provincial government, believes in China's grain production capacity He said that China has suffered from famine in history, and the government and people are very sensitive to the issue of food "Food is the first thing in all things, and the price of food is the basis of 100 prices" is the national consensus The current rise of grain price is a return of grain value, which breaks away from the shackles of decades of planned economy "government pricing" and complies with the market rules It is also a natural "reset" after years of grain supply exceeding demand and farmers complaining about "loss on farming" In China's urban and rural areas, people's mentality is very stable, and there is no rush to buy or hoard in the market For the first time in six years, the price of grain and bulk agricultural products in China has risen significantly In Anhui, a major grain producing province in the central part of China, the purchase price of rice rose by about 10% In Heilongjiang Province, the Northeast grain region, the purchase price per ton of wheat rose 32% year on year In Hebei, a grain producing province near Beijing, the price of corn has risen by 50-70 yuan per ton The price of vegetable oil, feed, poultry and other agricultural products also rose by different ranges At the same time, experts predict that China's total grain output will fall below 900 billion jin this year, the lowest in 10 years, and the per capita grain share of the country will fall below 700 Jin, the lowest in 20 years This includes the disaster of grain producing areas, the adjustment of agricultural structure and the reduction of cultivated land However, public opinions at home and abroad still speculate whether there is a shortage of total grain in China Han Jun, head of the Rural Department of the development research center of the State Council, said China is unlikely to have a food crisis Since 1995, the four consecutive years of bumper harvest has "bottomed out" At present, the accumulated social inventory is as high as 1 trillion Jin, which is equivalent to the total grain output of one year Although the sown area of grain has declined year after year, due to the continuous improvement of production conditions, China's comprehensive grain capacity has not been damaged In addition, the food consumption of urban and rural residents is unlikely to increase substantially, so there is no great danger to ensure food security Zhang Baowen, Deputy Minister of the Ministry of agriculture of sy9, also pointed out recently that since the late 1990s, the total supply and demand of China's grain and other major agricultural products has been basically balanced, and the situation of abundant years has been maintained Sy9 he Kaiyin believes that in the long run, even if China's population grows to 1.6 billion, there will be no "who will feed China" problem that some people abroad worry about By developing the grass industry, China has effectively changed the situation of relative lack of feed grain, and the meat production has corresponding guarantee The proportion of meat in the Chinese people's table has increased, reducing their consumption of raw food Sy9 in the mid-1990s, China's grain output continued to rise through the promotion of improved varieties, improvement of water conservancy conditions and intensive cultivation, breaking the 500 million ton mark in 1998 The relatively saturated market over the years has led to the decrease of grain price, total output and cultivated land area year by year, and the enthusiasm of farmers has also declined In order to improve farmers' enthusiasm for grain production, sy9 launched a tax reform aimed at reducing farmers' burden, and introduced a "protection price" (slightly higher than the market price) to purchase farmers' surplus grain He Kaiyin said that this round of rising grain prices is good news for farmers and even for China's grain market Sy9 in the grass-roots rural areas, the enthusiasm of Chinese farmers is constantly "warming up", the state-owned grain station began to receive a steady stream of orders Of course, China has not relaxed its high vigilance against possible changes in the relationship between food supply and demand At a recent National Conference on agriculture and food work, Premier Wen Jiabao stressed the need to implement the strictest farmland protection system, strengthen support for major grain producing areas and grain farmers, strengthen rural infrastructure construction, advance agricultural science and technology, and ensure national food security The Ministry of agriculture of sy9 proposes to strive to restore grain output to 920 billion jin next year and increase the per mu yield by 5 kg The official authoritative media published editorials and reviews on the protection and improvement of the comprehensive production capacity of grain, and agricultural experts also actively offered suggestions Yu Jingzhong, a famous agricultural expert in China and deputy director of the Standing Committee of Jiangsu Provincial People's Congress, proposed to establish a food security early warning system and emergency plans, strengthen and improve the macro-control of grain, and do a good job in linking the grain sales area with the production area and the international and domestic markets All of these have gained the attention of the government Sy9